Posted on 07/03/2018 10:46:42 AM PDT by BBell
Experts are now forecasting a "below-average" Atlantic hurricane season based on unusually cold temperatures in portions of the Atlantic Ocean, according to updated projections released Monday (June 2) by Colorado State University.
The new predictions call for a total of 11 named storms to develop this season, a drop from the original prediction of 14. The 11 storms include Subtropical Storm Alberto, the one named storm that has already occurred this season.
Of those 11 storms, four are expected to become hurricanes, including one major hurricane. The original forecast, released in April, included seven hurricanes, three of them major hurricanes. In late May, experts adjusted those expectations to six hurricanes, two of them major hurricanes, classified as Category 3 and above.
The adjusted storm outlook was released by Colorado State University's Department of Atmospheric Science and researchers for its Tropical Meteorology Project, considered among the top experts in the field.
The report, authored by Philip J. Klotzbach and Michael M. Bell, attributes the decrease in expected storms to temperatures that are "much colder than normal" in tropical and subtropical parts of the Atlantic Ocean.
Colder water in the tropical Atlantic provides less fuel for developing storms, experts said in the Monday predictions. The cold conditions also tend to coincide with higher pressure, drier air and "a more stable atmosphere," forecasters said. Drier and more stable air suppresses the formation of deep thunderstorms, which function as the building blocks of hurricanes.
The development of a weak El Nino at the height of hurricane season would also curtail storms, forecasters said.
(Excerpt) Read more at nola.com ...
A below-average hurricane season is proof of Global Warming!
Every conceivable weather event is proof of Global Warming.
That Rat Bastard was almost POTUS.
How strict are they?
...uh ... the President's immigration policies are so strict, they're not even letting hurricanes come ashore anymore.
I thought we were all doomed ... because its really hot ... in the summer ... in some parts of the country.
If we gave crooked politicians trillions of dollars to fix Global Warming, every year could be like this /s
If the NWS says that our average of Hurricanes will be below normal I’d prepare for one anyway.
We in the North Eastern U.S. should be prepared in the event a super storm comes our way.
Last year, the media tried to make Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico into Trump’s Katrina. But it didn’t work.
I’m sure they would love a major disaster, as awkward as it sounds, so they could use any issues with disaster response against Trump.
This makes no sense. The Academy Award winning documentary, and the Nobel Prize winning theory behind it warned us twelve years ago. The stark warning was clear and unambiguous: uncontrolled warming with increasing numbers of ever larger hurricanes. NASA/GISS data confirm that every month of those twelve years has been the "hottest ever", yet we're still not getting more hurricanes. What's up with that?
While the weather doesn't feel warmer where I live, or where any of my friends and relatives live, we can't generalize from that. Al Gore has reassured us that we're all going to die, and I'm not going to argue with the world's greatest scientist. But still, what's up with the hurricanes that were so prominent that they put them on the cover for his great documentary?
Assigning a name to a natural event doesn’t make it special.
Temperature goes up, and it goes down. Trying to give meaning to natural fluctuations is an exercise in futility.
ANOTHER MASSIVE FAILURE FOR THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION!
Has The Goron been reached for comment yet?
Only business I know of where you can be wrong more than 50% of the time and still keep your job.
dont worry, several of the tropical storms will identify as hurricanes..
Can we blame Global Warming?“‘
Absolutely.
On April 05, CNN had this headline ... “The 2018 hurricane season could be as busy as the 2017 season”
>>>
Colorado State University forecasts above-average season
The Atlantic hurricane season lasts from June through November. With the season less than two months away, Colorado State University issued its preliminary seasonal forecast on Thursday.
Forecasters expect a slightly above-average season, with 14 named storms. Seven of those are expected to become hurricanes and three are expected to be major hurricanes.
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Understand that this is a NORMAL PROCESS, predictions and then refinements on the predictions. To accept such as anything other than an educated guesstimate is a fool’s game.
Yeah you right! They predict X number of storms then make damned sure they name every thunderstorm in the Atlantic to make their predictions true!
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