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Numbers Show House GOP Still in Deep Trouble
Cook Political ^ | June 12, 2018

Posted on 06/15/2018 5:50:23 AM PDT by SMGFan

. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released Thursday morning had both good and bad news for President Trump and his party. The good news was that optimism about the direction of the country and the percentage of people believing that the economy is improving are both up from the last NBC/WSJ poll in April. Not surprisingly, the president’s job approval was up, as we have seen in other polling of late.

The bad news for Trump and the GOP is that even with that hopeful news, Republicans are 10 points behind Democrats on the closely-watched generic congressional ballot, while the president’s numbers—albeit improved — are still really bad and underwater. Democrats have a substantial advantage in intensity going into this midterm election, and respondents said, by a very wide margin, that they prefer voting for a candidate that would provide a check on Trump. In short, people see things as getting better, but Republicans — particularly in the House — are still in deep trouble.

The nationwide survey of 900 registered voters, conducted jointly by Democratic pollster Fred Yang of Hart Research and Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies, showed the share of voters believing that the country is headed in the right direction was up 5 points from the April NBC/WSJ poll, from 31 to 36 percent, while those saying off the country was off on the wrong track was down 7 points, 62 to 55 percent. The late Richard Wirthlin, who served as President Reagan’s pollster and popularized the right-direction/wrong-track question, used to refer to it as “the Dow Jones indicator of American politics,” a useful barometer of midterm-election mood.

(Excerpt) Read more at cookpolitical.com ...


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To: SMGFan

One influencing factor was the narrative that Trump is “above the law” by pardoning himself which made his numbers dive. Another factor is the dilution of the average by polling firms that only occasionally do polls like PPP and IBD/TIPP.


21 posted on 06/15/2018 6:28:23 AM PDT by Henry Cavendish
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To: Truth29
Good News .

Trump just announced that Ryan’s Amnesty plan is dead on
Fox and Friends .

He will NOT SIGN .

Ryan big Amnesty was stopped .

22 posted on 06/15/2018 6:31:51 AM PDT by ncalburt (Gop DC Globalists out themselves ever)
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To: ncalburt

Thank you, Jesus!


23 posted on 06/15/2018 6:32:41 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: ncalburt
Good News . Trump just announced that Ryan’s Amnesty plan is dead on Fox and Friends . He will NOT SIGN . Ryan big Amnesty was stopped .


24 posted on 06/15/2018 6:33:52 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: WashingtonSource

I agree .

Ryan was hell bent on destroying the Gop for his K street owners .


25 posted on 06/15/2018 6:33:53 AM PDT by ncalburt (Gop DC Globalists out themselves ever)
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To: central_va
Trump shot down the compromised amnesty bill in a
Interview with Brian K on Fox .
Smart move to head off a midterm mess .
26 posted on 06/15/2018 6:39:26 AM PDT by ncalburt (Gop DC Globalists out themselves ever)
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To: SMGFan

DC ‘pubs are in trouble because they’d rather lose than actually fulfill campaign promises made to their voting fodder. They’ve been a farce and disgrace since Obamacare wasn’t repealed. At that point, McConnell and Ryan should’ve been removed. Why? The only other approach would’ve been to strip all of the traitors (especially McCain) from any important positions.


27 posted on 06/15/2018 6:48:17 AM PDT by grania (President Trump, stop believing the Masters of War!)
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To: Paine in the Neck

Love it....three parties now: MAGA, Enemy and Crazies. I’m a MAGA, but wouldn’t mind being called the Deplorables.


28 posted on 06/15/2018 6:50:22 AM PDT by grania (President Trump, stop believing the Masters of War!)
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To: C210N
I suppose NBC News wrote the article without first, during, or after, reading the article.

That's always been my impression

29 posted on 06/15/2018 7:02:28 AM PDT by Dixie Yooper (Ephesians 6:11)
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To: SMGFan

The generic ballot survey sums up all voters in the survey accross all districts, so with any such poll Dims will outweigh the GOP, but that kind of sampling does not look into any district by district possible voting. And district by district, not the generic ballot, is all anyone needs to consider. For instance, yes there are more votes in the San Francisco districts than districts around Redding, but the votes in San Francisco do not affect the votes in Redding.


30 posted on 06/15/2018 7:09:12 AM PDT by Wuli
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To: ScottinVA

They shut up with the Blue Wave after the primaries (for about a month).

Time to crank up the propaganda machine again.


31 posted on 06/15/2018 7:29:19 AM PDT by crusher2013
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To: SMGFan

Yeah and illary won the election LOL:-)


32 posted on 06/15/2018 8:18:18 AM PDT by Harpotoo
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To: SMGFan

It’s the pollster that claimed Ben Carson was ahead of Trump during the primaries. And, showed him behind Hillary be double digits a few weeks before the election.


33 posted on 06/15/2018 8:32:30 AM PDT by Kazan
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To: SMGFan

Another worthless poll.


34 posted on 06/15/2018 8:53:18 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: oldbill

No, because Ryan will be gone in the next election.


35 posted on 06/15/2018 8:53:57 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Paine in the Neck
Trumpers know we have to keep the House and will vote to do so.

Most of the Vichy GOP are resigning.

So, be stupid and allow the Democrats to take the House.

36 posted on 06/15/2018 8:55:29 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: ncalburt

He already said he won’t sign a compromise immigration bill.


37 posted on 06/15/2018 8:56:02 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: SMGFan
the closely-watched generic congressional ballot

what about the actual polls from the individual races?

38 posted on 06/15/2018 9:00:56 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: ncalburt

He’s already said he won’t sign it


39 posted on 06/15/2018 9:03:27 AM PDT by wardaddy (Hanged not hung.)
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To: wardaddy

Yes , grest news .


40 posted on 06/15/2018 9:59:46 AM PDT by ncalburt (Gop DC Globalists out themselves ever)
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