Posted on 05/13/2018 9:01:44 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX
Folks, forget the pollsters, forget the pundits, the Democrat Party is going to get devastated in defeat in the United States Senate. The "Blue Wave" never was and, never will be. Here's the real world of Senate Democrats in trouble today, and, I believe it will get worse for the Democrat Party as time marches on toward Mid-Term election day in November.
In trouble Democrat Senate candidates: - Bill Nelson - Joe Donnelly - Tina Smith - Claire McCaskill - Jon Testor - Heidi Heitkamp - Sherrod Brown - Bob Casey - Tammy Baldwin - Joe Manchin - Elizabeth Warren - Tim Kaine - Debbi Stabenow
Republicans will win six to 12 USA Senate seats. They will also keep the House and pickup about 12-20 House seats.
POTUS, Trump will campaign heavily across the entire country, including California & New York. Obama, Clinton will be hiding in the swamp weeds...you will not see much of them. Reason, they cannot draw rally attendees. as for the impact of Schumer & Pelosi...forget it, go back to sleep!!!
It's about philosophy, not party. Vote for the most conservative electable candidate. If your local Republican is a weak link, beat him in the primary. If you're disgusted with all of them, run yourself.
We are going to have to do it for Trump.
then we have already lost.
dig deep and find some motivation.
if you’re tired of pinching your nose closed when you vote, change hands.
politics is dirty business and no one good would willingly do that job.
therefore we are all stuck with the dregs of society who are attracted to such jobs.
Judge appointments are motivation enough for me.
I don’t yet see the temperament of the electorate to deliver the result that you predict. It’s certainly possible and the trends are going in the right direction. But, the nation is still evenly divided with respect to the President and the disdain for the Congress must fall on the Republicans more so than the Democrats because the GOP controls both Houses. Add the special sauce of the media propaganda and the probability of your outcome is pretty low. The Democrats still want to impeach Trump and they really believe the Blue Wave nonsense. The electorate will remain indifferent to the mid-term election and if they vote, they will more than likely vote based on something that they heard from CNN, CBS, or the Today Show. You already know what the media will say, regardless of what happens in Washington between now and November.
The good news is that the result will probably mirror the 2016 election, so we will see gains in both the Senate and in the House, but the numbers will be single digits in the Senate and low double numbers in the House. Continuing successes will bump those numbers somewhat, a big blowout is not going to happen.
There’s another vote in September. Trump said he wouldn’t sign another CR. Trump is good about doing what he says he’ll do. That will be what brings out the vote or keeps it at home.
“Warren is safe”
Unless tens of thousands of people from Wyoming move to MA.
It’s a lot like Clarence Thomas said about southern white democrats vs. northern white liberals in his autobiography, quoting his grandfather.
The democrats these days are like rattlesnakes, warning you what they will do and faithfully carrying through. The RINOs are like cottonmouths, silently sneaking up on you and biting you on the ankles.
A Republican is not going to beat Tim Kaine.
One thing that should be taken into consideration, is that we have many many examples of things turning out quite the opposite of how the media has projected them to turn out. In other words the media has become laughable not just in its anti-trump bias, but in its inability to predict the future accurately. As if anyone needed to know that. So I would be happy if this was yet another example. What you are being told in the media is more accurately projected to be precisely the opposite of what eventually happens.
From your lips to God’s ears......
Claire McCaskill is supposedly always vulnerable, but she wins handily 2006 and 2012. 49.6% to 47.3%, 54.7% to 39.2% respectively. Todd Aidin of course imploded from the brain then exploded from the mouth over a minor abortion technocality. Legitimate Rape vs Non-Legitimate Rape. Or as Whoopie puts it, rape-rape.
I would put McCaskill in the non-vulnerable list and move on to better prospects.
Not a chance—Congress is best at stalling—they will do a continuing resolution to kick the budget can down the road until after the mid-terms...
Criminals have a standard method of operation—it is the best predictor of future behavior. :-(
The primaries are starting to give us more Trumpies. The ones last week in West Virginia, Indiana, Ohio and North Carolina were very positive. Let’s see what happens this coming week especially in Pennsylvania. I suspect about 80% of GOP Candidates will be Trumpies. I think a lot of folks are going to be surprised how well the Republicans do, come November.
As for Elizabeth Warren & Tim Kaine being safe Democrat seats...don’t be so sure. The Massachusetts, Boston Irish-Catholic Democrats have no use for Warren, plus she is a 100% nutcase and if Tim Kaine is opposed by a true Trumpie Conservative, you folks will be stunned in positive fashion as to how many folks turnout to support and vote for the Trump candidate. Add to this that Tim Kaine was a terrible, bumbling morn as Clinton’s chioce for VP in 2016.
* * * Cockiness is a jinx * * *
'It' ain't over 'til it's over'.
Hillary lost because she and her team were confident she couldn't lose.
It's difficult to make predictions, especially about the future.
There's enough time until the mid terms for something we can't know or predict that can go horribly wrong.
For example, what if it turns out there was, unbeknownst to Trump, a Russia-friendly mole in his campaign staff?
What if some idiotic big name Republican is found to be caught up in an indefensible action that can be linked by association to every other Republican up for re-election?
The possibility of an 'any-month-surprise' is real.
We need to substitute eternal vigilance for cockiness.
As the former BOY Scouts' motto says, 'be prepared'.
Other cliches' to always keep in mind:
'It ain't over 'till the fat lady sings.'
'Don't count your chickens before they hatch.'
“FREEPERS are bashing Scott all over the place. Many here prefer Nelson. Don’t be shocked if conservatives especially on Free Republic keep Nelson in that seat.”
“The Perfect is the enemy of the Good.”
I'm going to take issue with this sentiment. I'll bet dollars to doughnuts, that the vast majority of the disapproval of the congress-critters is the frustration that one's party doesn't accomplish what they want accomplished. In other words, conservatives are frustrated with the republican elites for not pushing through the entire Trump agenda (see also Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell) more quickly and approve more judges quicker. The liberals are frustrated that the democrats weren't able to stop certain portions of the Trump agenda (Tax cuts passed, regulations reduced, withdraw from the Paris Accord, etc.) and aren't currently impeaching him, or having him indicted through Mueller.
Hence, when polled, neither the republican constituents or democrat constituents are happy. The result: 15.1% approval and 73.6% disapproval (Real Clear Politics average of seven polls). Its equal disdain. Therefore, the mid-terms will come down to turnout.
So Trump is a rattle snake?
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