Speculation at this point serves no purpose.
Speculation is all we’ve got, because I’m not inclined to believe anything I hear from the government anyway.
that is how crowd sourcing works. You post the speculation and hordes of people crowd source the truth. At least that is how it works for us.
Unless you are one of the gullible who waits to be told what the truth is from the authorities and accepts it hook, line, and sinker. How many times do you have to be lied to before you learn that crowd sourcing is the only chance we have to figure it out?
Alternative info that is not suppressed forces their hand. They ignore it at the "peril" of being fake news, not that they care much, yet.