I’m praying that Irma will skirt much of Florida, but we don’t know all the factors that will influence her path.
Yes, the modelers may be giving short shrift to the vertical dimension of the air. Maybe the model that has Irma going well out into the Gulf and lightly brushing the panhandle is the one that is most realistic.
I’d like to see better science attempted in future, science that will model the air vertically as well as horizontally. Perhaps if we but had refined the method, with vertical as well as horizontal measurements of air, we might have been able to say (for example) that hey, Irma is going to head out into the Gulf, so don’t sweat it central and northern Florida, and only prepare for some heavy rain in southern Florida.
I agree that grinding the anthropogenic global warming axe will create blind spots in science that never needed to be there.
I agree, but we need to get a computer model that is crated by someone who knows the weather, not the ones indoctrinated with fools knowledge
The model is only as good as those creating it. If they have evil in their hearts and their intentions are to scam the public for their own future gain, or that of Satan’s, ie. The New World Order, then it will be worthless..
I’m pretty sure they are considering the air flows at different altitudes.