AND HER
Posted on 11/02/2016 8:33:08 AM PDT by wise_caucasian
According to RCP poll averages, Trump trails Clinton by only 0.7% in ME CD2 (1 EV), by only 2.4% in CO (9 EVs), NH (4 EVs) and VA (13 EVs) by 4.7%.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
I would like to think Trump can take either MI, WI or MN.
“I thought that Colorado was a mail in state like Washington. “
We are a heavy mail-in State.
We are a mail-n state. In my case a walk-in as I live about 5 blocks from my county courthouse. We voted about 5 days ago.
Philly is totally corrupt and is a hotbed of Democrats anyway. Likewise Pittsburg. Erie is traditionally Democrap, but not black Democrap like Philly, so maybe some hope there.
I think he will get Michigan. I don’t think he will get Colorado or Virginia. I am not sure about PA. I think Philly put obama over the top, and the cheating that went on there. I do not think Blacks are as excited about voting for an old white hag, which either they won’t turnout as much, or much more would vote for Trump than they did for Romney.
New Hampshire, Colorado, and one CD in Maine would seem to be the best opportunities still on the board.
The methodology of averaging polls sure looks silly.
But the RCP average was darn accurate during the primaries, as was most polling.
Outlier polls were just that, and obvious.
Bookmarking; need to flip some blues to reds.
Northeast and rust belt states ...
AND HER
[The tide is turning.]
PRAYERS ARE BEING ANSWERED. PTL
Don’t forget Pueblo. Liberal, heavily hispanic plus old Italian mob-union guys all over place.
“If current trends continue,” Trump will end up taking CO, WI, MI, PA, and NH.
I suspect the winning EVs will come out of CO, VA or both.
So do you think that Trump has enough votes to overcome Boulder and Denver? I also visited Denver in August....beautiful place. However, I was speaking to a woman who grew up in Denver while she was driving me to the airport and she said that MJ is a problem and that a lot of homeless are coming into Denver from other states. Is it possible that those “new” homeless people will vote? That’s kinda scary.
A local observation:
I’m in Colorado and there’s a major intersection in our somewhat small town where, for a week or so, a few Trump supporters have been rallying during morning and evening traffic hours.
The positive response to them seems to have grown considerably between the end of last week until yesterday.
:-)
Looks nice but aren’t NV and UT not really in the red column at this point?
Folks, I think maybe we give TOO MUCH CREDIBILITY to RCP.
Someone correct me if I am wrong, but why is averaging OLDER polls with NEWER polls a better practice than just looking at NEWER polls?
And frankly, I am really getting convinced that some of these polls are done with a nod toward shifting this “RCP average”. Who runs RCP?
It wasn’t too long ago that the “pundits” were saying that Trump was going to lose the popular vote. The new spin we will hear from now until Election Day is that Trump can win the popular vote but lose the electoral vote.
I can see that if Trump wins the popular vote by 1% - 2%, but I am guessing that if he wins the popular vote by 3% or greater, then a few blue states will have flipped to give him the EV win.
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