Unfortunately the claim is mostly correct. Democrats are outperforming Republican new voter registrations by a large number. But how that will work out, we can’t know- enthusiasm isn’t high for hrc so why this is happening I don’t quite understand.
I know in Central Florida I’ve seen many Trump stickers, several Bernie and ONE Hillary. But ..this is I-4 corridor- we’re an odd mix. I live in a red county and work in a blue one.
Well, no. It is all in where you start. Ravi compiled ongoing lists of five blue counties early in the year. At that time, the Rs were crushing it, outperforming in every single county. In early ballot requests, Rs up 48,000. Story is “well, that’s less than what they were up in 2012.” Maybe, but we have far more voters turning out than in 2012 (I’m guessing at least 3.1m absentees) and Speedy in Texas projects Rs will end up about +128,000 in absentees.
Rs are outperforming Ds based on 2012 in Hillsborough Co. Rs are ahead by about 4% in actual votes.