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Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Discussion (Category 5)
National Hurricane Center ^ | September 30, 2016

Posted on 09/30/2016 8:09:10 PM PDT by rdl6989

An Air Force reconnaissance plane recently measured a peak SFMR wind of 143 kt and then 138 kt during this mission's eye penetrations. Furthermore, the satellite presentation has improved considerably with a distinct eye surrounded by a ring of very deep convection. The raw objective T-numbers from UW-CIMSS have been above 7.0 since 2100 UTC. On this basis, the initial intensity has been increased to 140 kt, making Matthew a Category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. This is the first Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic basin since Hurricane Felix in 2007.

(Excerpt) Read more at nhc.noaa.gov ...


TOPICS: Weather
KEYWORDS: cat5hurricane; hurricane; hurricanematthew; hurricanematthew2016; matthew; tropical; weather
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To: eyedigress
Some models show it's potential to go up the East Coast....

They're saying if in Florida to begin preparations...though shouldn't hit there, if it's going to, till Tues. or Wed. Better safe than sorry I say.

But then Here's the latest.....


41 posted on 09/30/2016 11:17:13 PM PDT by caww
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To: eyedigress

Not surprised...some people just don’t think things will happen and then it does.....some are just jerks and think they can tough it out....


42 posted on 09/30/2016 11:19:59 PM PDT by caww
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To: caww

Cone shifted east in 5 PM update, includes Miami and Ft. Lauderdale.

Strangest storm I have ever seen, no telling where it will go.


43 posted on 09/30/2016 11:20:49 PM PDT by Rome2000 (SMASH THE CPUSA-SIC SEMPER TYRANNIS-CLOSE ALL MOSQUES)
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To: caww

To be honest, I would love to see a hurricane come on shore, unfortunately I also realize I’m on my own.

It took us weeks to get the Gulf back in order in 85’.


44 posted on 09/30/2016 11:23:40 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: eyedigress
All good advice. I was considering a Lowe's run tomorrow for plywood (for the windows). The racks will be empty as soon as it looks like it's heading this way. I've plenty of room to store it and if I end up not needing it there's always a hundred uses for plywood. The hotel is a good idea too. I could watch my security cams remotely on my phone at a safe distance - at least until the power and Internet goes out.
45 posted on 09/30/2016 11:24:53 PM PDT by Sunnyvale CA Eng.
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To: eyedigress
Incredible stats showcasing the explosive strength and sheer magnitude of this beast....went from cat. 1 to 5 in less than 33 hours.


46 posted on 09/30/2016 11:25:54 PM PDT by caww
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To: Sunnyvale CA Eng.

Get that room booked tonight.


47 posted on 09/30/2016 11:27:25 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: Rome2000

..”Cone shifted east in 5 PM update, includes Miami and Ft. Lauderdale......Strangest storm I have ever seen, no telling where it will go.”....

I think that’s also why they’re saying nothings off the table yet on what this storm will do or go.


48 posted on 09/30/2016 11:27:33 PM PDT by caww
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To: eyedigress

Well I hope I’m far enough inland not to be concerned....family get together up in God’s Elk country!


49 posted on 09/30/2016 11:28:57 PM PDT by caww
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To: rdl6989

Thanks for posting.

I got a ping from my step-daughter’s FB page about 4 days ago that said she was on her way to Santo Domingo, D.R., for her son’s wedding. .....He’s marrying a school teacher who is mother of their four year old son. .....I’m worrying, because I don’t know her current email address. Hope they’re safe.


50 posted on 09/30/2016 11:29:54 PM PDT by octex
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To: eyedigress

Matthew is the 5th Category 5 hurricane in Atlantic on record during October..... Other 4 are (Cuba-1924, Hattie-1961, Mitch-1998, Wilma-2005)

Looks like the fact it’s risen to a CAt 5 so fast and rare for Oct. in the Atlantic....makes for an interesting watch.


51 posted on 09/30/2016 11:31:23 PM PDT by caww
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To: caww

I marched to Alley Hall on a Friday to escape Elena and was released when it headed for Tampa.

I flew home and that damn thing turned and hit Biloxi. I was the second plane in to see the destruction.

It took two weeks to get the town in order and another two weeks to get the base in order. Thank You to those in the USN that know what I’m talking about.

eye


52 posted on 09/30/2016 11:32:31 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: caww

Your Elk should be OK! :^)


53 posted on 09/30/2016 11:33:21 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: octex

54 posted on 09/30/2016 11:36:58 PM PDT by caww
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To: caww

We are right in the middle of Hurricane season.


55 posted on 09/30/2016 11:37:20 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: rodguy911

: (


56 posted on 09/30/2016 11:38:50 PM PDT by Chgogal (A woman who votes for Hillary is voting with her vagina and not her brain.)
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To: eyedigress

Oh man! I would have hated seeing that.....still leaves people speechless even now I think....was so terrible then.

Yes, the Elk will be fine...rutt season so we are hoping to see plenty....amazing creatures.....hopefully will see 100’s in a group as others have seen....


57 posted on 09/30/2016 11:41:37 PM PDT by caww
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To: eyedigress

I knew we were in it but not how far in.....I have a family .ember that watches weather daily.....lives In Florida so it’s just smart doing so down there.....though they’re accustomed to storms and always prepared....you just never know if they’re going to hit or not....


58 posted on 09/30/2016 11:44:15 PM PDT by caww
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To: eyedigress
radar from the WC130J during tonight's mission! ( Pilot Maj Roundtree)


59 posted on 09/30/2016 11:47:08 PM PDT by caww
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To: caww

I landed in Gulfport and it was hell. The small craft were flipped on their wings and the tornadoes ripped thru the trees. All lamps were down and windows blown out.

I had a special escort to the base. It wasn’t good.


60 posted on 09/30/2016 11:50:10 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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