Posted on 09/07/2016 10:01:48 AM PDT by scouter
I have followed the last several presidential races on electoral-vote.com, and have found their commentary to be rather left-leaning, but their results to be fairly accurate. In today's data, we see something pretty interesting, as compared to yesterday's data:
9/6 - Clinton 312, Trump 197, Ties 29
9/7 - Clinton 323, Trump 197, Ties 18
On the surface it looks like Clinton gained ground as compared to yesterday. But if you look more deeply, you see that there's been a lot of movement that isn't readily apparent from the simple count of electoral votes.
Between yesterday and today a total of 181 electoral votes shifted toward either Trump or Clinton. That is to say, they did one of the following: 1) changed hands, 2) shifted toward the other candidate without changing hands, or 3) became stronger toward their current candidate.
In terms of strength, a net 31 electoral votes that were Trump's yesterday became even more strongly Trump's today. On the other hand, a net 29 of Clinton's electoral votes yesterday became weaker today, including 18 that moved from Barely Democrat to Tied.
Put simply, a net 60 electoral votes moved in Trump's direction, as compared to yesterday.
Here's the data. Positive numbers mean electoral votes moving in Trump's direction. Negative numbers mean electoral votes moving away from Trump:
| State | 6-Sep | 7-Sep | Electoral Votes | Moving towards Trump (All) |
Moving towards Trump (Currently Rep) |
Moving towards Trump (Currently Dem) |
Moving towards Trump (Currently Tied) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | Strongly Republican | Likely Republican | 3 | -3 | -3 | ||
| Utah | Strongly Republican | Likely Republican | 6 | -3 | -3 | ||
| Arkansas | Strongly Republican | Likely Republican | 6 | -6 | -6 | ||
| Nebraska | Strongly Republican | Likely Republican | 5 | -5 | -5 | ||
| Texas | Likely Republican | Strong Republican | 38 | 38 | 38 | ||
| Missouri | Barely Republican | Likely Republican | 10 | 10 | 10 | ||
|
|
|||||||
| Colorado | Strongly Democrat | Barely Democrat | 9 | 9 | 9 | ||
| Minnesota | Strongly Democrat | Likely Democrat | 10 | 10 | 10 | ||
| Maine | Strongly Democrat | Barely Democrat | 4 | 4 | 4 | ||
| Wisconsin | Likely Democrat | Barely Democrat | 10 | 10 | 10 | ||
| Michigan | Likely Democrat | Barely Democrat | 16 | 16 | 16 | ||
| New Hampshire | Likely Democrat | Barely Democrat | 4 | 4 | 4 | ||
| Virginia | Barely Democrat | Likely Democrat | 13 | -13 | -13 | ||
| Florida | Tied | Barely Democrat | 29 | -29 | -29 | ||
|
|
|||||||
| Ohio | Barely Democrat | Tied | 18 | 18 | 18 | ||
|
|
|||||||
| Totals | 181 | 60 | 31 | 11 | 18 |
Excellent info if reliable. Where did you get the numbers to determine these results?
At the electoral-vote.com website.
Arizona, South Carolina, and Georgia are in the “Barely Republican category. If she flips any of those then Trump’s back in trouble.
Thanks for the info.
And likewise Minnesota, Michigan, and Wisconsin are not going to go Trump. At the end of the day if Trump can take Pennsylvania then he will win. If he doesn't, he loses.
None of these States are in play.
The MSM is trying to get Clinton and Trump to spend $$$$ on ads there.
The Midwest is the key.
CO, IA, WI, OH plus PA
All have been Blue States for quite awhile.
Ted Cruz probably cost us CO and possibly WI
Nobody knows until November what the actual count is. Just go vote for Trump, and take as many family and friends as you can with you, and get your family and friends to do the same. It’s all we really can do. Except pray that Hildabeast does not take control.
I can understand AZ, but SC and GA cannot become a foothold for the democrats to take the south. FL is already a basket case state. If they turn the south “purple”, it is over.
Agreed, but it does help my mood to see movement in Trump's direction.
Nice to see, but I doubt that you are going to see much of a shift in a single day.
Too many Yankees moving south to enjoy the great way of life and lower cost of living. With their liberal voting patterns they will destroy what they find so appealing about southern living.
I can almost guarantee that Canadian mental midget Cruz costs Trump Colorado.
I hope I’m wrong, but the Cruz supporters here are just not going to vote at all. (that is a large section of CO Repubs)
All he had to do, was just hold an honest caucus, but nope, being one of the globalist GOPe’s, he refused to do that.
I’m a Denver repub, and Trump has had my full support since the middle of the primary debates.
They are GOP States, no way they go Hillary.
I hear you, but Electoral-Vote.com posted new results today based on new polls in all 50 states. Many of the states listed above had not had new polls posted in about a week. That's why I thought it was significant.
I think he has a very chance for MI.
Assuming the democrats don’t scr*w with the voting machines.
Highly doubtful.
I'll be blown away if that happens. BO had 98% of the black vote, with an enormous turnout, and couldn't carry SC and GA. And the pollsters think Hillary will carry them with a lower turnout and lower percentage? Wishful thinking.
Trump doesn't need to relax by any means. But the numbers here just aren't adding up.
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