Posted on 04/15/2016 7:56:30 AM PDT by MtnClimber
In the midst of an epic El Nino, federal meteorologists say its flip side, La Nina, is around the corner.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center on Thursday reported that the current strong El Nino is weakening but likely to stick around a couple more months. At the same time, NOAA issued a formal watch for a fall arrival of La Nina, saying there is a 70 percent chance for the flip side of El Nino.
"A dry winter next year won't be good, I can assure you of that," Halpert said. What may be truly confusing is this summer's Atlantic hurricane season, Halpert said. At the start of the summer, Earth may still be in the tail end of an El Nino, which often reduces the number of Atlantic hurricanes. But by the time the hurricane season hits its fall peak, it should be a La Nina, which tends to increase the number of storms.
La Nina often means wetter winters in the Pacific Northwest and Ohio Valley and drier in the south, especially Florida, Halpert said. It often means fewer East Coast snowstorms, but a bit colder weather, especially in the Northern Plains, with the Northeast more a wild card, he said. El Nino is the natural warming of parts of the Pacific that alters weather worldwide that occurs every several years and last nearly a year. La Nina, with cooler Pacific waters, lasts a bit longer.
El Nino, La Nina and a neutral condition, neither warm nor cool, together make up what's called the El Nino Southern Oscillation. But don't expect neutral for long. Halpert said computer models are unanimous that the world will zip past neutral and directly into the cooler La Nina.
(Excerpt) Read more at hosted2.ap.org ...
Has anyone seen what has been going on up at Yellowstone lately?
They took down all the USGS earthquake sites for there. No explainantion, no reason. I guess around Cody WY they have had a thermal vent open up. When one professor at the at Utah University was asked about it, he said he couldnt say anything about it.
Unusual? No, but it really has some folks shook up.
I always tell these dooms day people that in the case of Yellowstone, Why worry? Because if that thing blows, the only thing you could do is bend over and kiss your ass goodbye....worldwide.
But it would be nice to know when to put the lipstick on.
>>So if it raining at your house it probably isnt raining where you are going.<<
Years ago the wife & I had an argument about whether or not it was raining.
I discovered, upon the demand that “I came & see for myself”, that we were both right. Looking out the kitchen window, she was seeing water running off the roof, and rain drenching the back yard.
I then led her to the living room windows, to see a perfectly dry yard, with the sun shining.
Going outside, we could see that the peak of our roof was the demarcation between the rain falling & dry air.
THIS was an “epic El Niño?”
It rained a few times, mostly just drizzle, over the past few months. Never two solid days of rain. Never one solid day of rain. Every other week, maybe, a bit of drizzle for 3-4 hours at most. We never needed rain jackets, umbrellas, or boots (sadly for my daughter, hardly any puddles ever).
In my childhood I remember flooded streets and hard rain that soaked you. I remember it raining for days on end.
Me as well. Nashville was under water 6 years ago.
We visited Nashville and our hostess drove us all around to show us what had been underwater. UNBELIEVABLE.
I fell in love with Nashville. Especially the hilly outer areas.
I visited in January to put in a data center and it was crazy busy. This was Franklin.
The underwater part was my other home in Smyrna on the Stones river. My home was fine but OMG was the water going to reak havic on Percy Priest!
Like most arguments between people, the position you take depends on your particular view. Isn’t it nice that for once you were both right?
Meteorologists should look out of the window more.
That was about 40 years ago, and we still laugh about it.
The el nino and la nina are measurable high and low pressure changes “the southern pacific oscillation”. Wind blows from high pressure to low pressure on the earth surface. The southern pacific oscillation is a change in low and high pressure systems. When the low pressure is off the Australian coast and the high is off Chile, the warm surface water is pushed against the west coast including up to California. more rain.
In La Nina the pressures reverse and the warm water is pushed west toward Australia. Cold water is on the west coast of the US and less rain.
Bought an umbrella in December - still as it arrived.
We need the rain here in So Cal.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.