Posted on 03/28/2016 8:51:32 AM PDT by conservativejoy
A suite of new polls suggest that Ted Cruz may be gaining rapidly on Donald Trump in several key upcoming primary contests.
In Wisconsin, an Emerson poll conducted March 20-22 has Cruz leading Trump by 1%, 36% to 35%. A separate poll taken March 19-20 by the Washington Free Beacon shows Cruz with a 5% lead over Trump, 36% to 31%. Both are significant improvements for Cruz compared to previous polling data from late February, which showed him trailing Trump by 11%.
In California, a Los Angeles Times poll from March 16-23 puts Cruz now in a statistical tie (35% vs. 36%) with Trump, up from trailing Trump by between 5% to 16% in early/mid-March.
While Trump still leads in Pennsylvania, his margin has shrunk dramatically in recent weeks. A Franklin & Marshall poll conducted March 14-20 shows Trump with just a 3% lead over John Kasich (33% to 30%) and a 13% lead over Cruz. Back at the start of the month, Trump held a 19% lead over Cruz and a 26% lead over Kasich.
Polling data expected out this upcoming week should begin to show the impacts of the respective foreign policy choices the candidates are espousing.
In recent interviews with the Washington Post and the New York Times, Trump has articulated what might be considered a more isolationist/libertarian foreign policy that would involve possible large cuts in defense spending, a reduced involvement in geopolitical events, and allowing – potentially even encouraging – nations such as South Korea and Japan to obtain their own nuclear weapons deterrence as a replacement for the U.S. nuclear umbrella.
In contrast, Cruz's choice of Frank Gaffney and other members of the Center for Security Policy as his key foreign policy team paints a much more traditionally conservative view..
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
“In California, a Los Angeles Times poll from March 16-23 puts Cruz now in a statistical tie (35% vs. 36%) with Trump”
rcp poll average has trump up by 8 points in California:
I agree, but I would bet Kasich has about even odds of beating Cruz here. Trump will win the state, but since the district delegates are not bound, I would expect PA to screw the pooch if anyone is going to, this state is so politically corrupt its insane.
SLIP SLIDING AWAY, SLIP SLIDING AWAY
You know the nearer your destination, the more you SLIP SLIDING AWAY
My gut tells me he’s in trouble, too. But we’ll see.
I’m told that Mark Levin has virtually stopped tweeting. That doesn’t sound good for Cruz. It’s sound like someone spending all their time checking out sources before they say anything more.
Who thought it would be up to the Cheesehead, the Potheads, and the Plowheads to save us from T.Rump!?
I can see a Christie or Carson for VP both would be great. In fact I prefer Carson...just sick to death of Professional, lying Politicians. The Congress needs a top to bottom cleaning as well and if not in 2016 it will get done by 2018..
I for one say...This Nation needs to give Trump a chance to clean up the mess, when you see all the MSM, all the Politicians in both Parties, scared poop~less, you know he is the RIGHT MAN AT THIS TIME...AND OUR COUNTRY IS IN A TOTAL DEBT MESS AND OUR SECURITY IS AT RISK. IT IS A VERY SCARY TIME IN HISTORY...
Is there another reasonable candidate from Pennsylvania?
This has been a charade of a primary election. The race is such a lopsided win for Trump that it’s ludicrous to suggest otherwise. We are stuck with a non-winner trying to steal delegates from a winner that’s way out in front on so many levels and issues.
Team Cruz is efficient in weaseling out wins in a few caucus states known for their oddball and malleable vote counting methods.
Cruz won:
Virgin Islands by 30 votes
Wyoming by 480 votes
Alaska by 600 votes
Maine by 2,500.
Here are the rounded total votes Cruz won in his nine winning states.
Wyoming 620 people
Virgin Isl 200 people
Alaska 8,400
Maine 8,500
Kansas 35,000
Iowa 52,000
Utah 122,00
Okie 158,000
He won eight states totaling 385,000 votes.
If it wasn’t for Texas, he’d have a pile of beans.
Ted’s lackluster Texas win, Texas 1,239,393.
Cruz’s winning votes in nine states are 1,724,000.
Cruz won 9 states with 1,724,000 votes
Trump won 21 states, and nearly all the states were won by tens or hundreds of thousands of votes. The millions that have attended his rallies have voted.
Marianas (343 people)
Hawaii 6K
Vermont 20K
Nevada 35K
Kentucky 83K
N. H. 101K
Louisiana 125K
Arkansas 133K
Mississipi 191K
South Car 241K
Arizona 250K
Mass. 311K
Tenn. 333K
Virginia 356K
AlaBama. 372K
Missouri 382K
N. Carol 458K
Michig. 483K
Georgia 503K
Illinois 557K
FLorida 1,079,741
Trump won 21 states with 6,020,000 votes
Cruz’s only way to prevail now is by chicanery and fraud, but then that’s just how he began this campaign.
I believe he could mount a credible campaign and that he and Hillary could be neck and neck. I don’t see him jumping outside the traditional victory path for republicans, though. It will be the Ohio/Florida pathway.
==
The only way Cruz can win the nomination is by convention shenanigans, he then loses 25 to 50% of the Trump supporters and all the moderates whether R or D from these states, FL, OH, VA. I don’t see any path to a Cruz Presidency in this election or any other, unless he immediately cuts a deal with Trump as VP.
All Cruz is doing now is harming the R’s chances(Trump movement and at this point our only real chance) in this election and permanently destroying his brand nationally.
Full disclosure. I orginaly was for Cruz, but now see him as hypocritical snake-handling politikin huckster, running the dirtiest campaign R or D, I can remember, a memory going back to Reagans first term.
Those polls were taken before Rubio dropped out.
I used to be a Cruz supporter. I left when he lied about not knowing he had Canadian citizenship. Not believable at all. It took me a 6 or 7 months, but that’s what started it.
we will see this play out. one way, or another.
FO with your Trumpsterism.
here in Somerset County, Schuster in the House has a guy competing against him, and right now that guy will get our vote...Shuster, is another professional dude, and we are sick of them...Shuster has refused to have a debate??? hum-mm wonder why?
Just a scary time, especially for Senior Citizens...this State is not like the one I was born in...left here when I was ten years old, smartest move my parents ever made...then dumb me I return here in retirement, the dumbest move I've ever made..both of my adult kids at one time lived in PA..they both now are in the South, and will never return...and they are after us daily to move South, so we more than likely will, to NC or GA... lol, maybe hubby can go to NC and I can go to GA...wink~wink, that could work...
y'all have a wonderful week...pray for America.
Santorum sounds like your best, then. So it’s safer to go after Michigan or New Jersey. Kasich says he won’t be anyone’s Veep, and for some reason, I think I believe him. I think he really doesn’t want that job.
We’ll see. Trump begins campaigning tomorrow. He has to at most either change 6 percent of voters minds or get 6 percent of voters who don’t vote to the polls. Not impossible.
I don't support Trump at all. Not sure where you'd get the idea I'm a Trumpster.
Sadly those and Idaho are Cruz’s only primary wins. Kinda pathetic really.
Check out post 6
I like Ohio. I like the 4 distinct seasons. I like the foliage. I like the southern hills, the central rolling farms, and the northern pancake flat mile upon mile. I think it’s a beautiful state.
The income tax ruined if financially.
Repeal that, and I’m sure this state would roar back.
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