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I do kind of wonder, given that every campaign I'm sure has known about the hotel videos and the fact that they are not totally conclusive, but that one day Ted would probably have to explain them ... if that's why 'Lyin' Ted' was the nickname the Trump campaign picked for Ted. These names were so deliberate ... I can remember clearly the first moments Trump used 'Little Marco' 'Low Energy' and 'Lyin' Ted' in debates (not sure Low Energy was introduced in a debate) ... but clearly these were thought out, strategic, prepared labels, and Trump was waiting for the moment to introduce them. It's funny when people call him out of control for the name calling - they were some of the most controlled moments of the debates. Almost awkward, but you understood in the weeks following.

... So that when it came time for Ted to explain the video ... every Republican primary voter would have 'Lyin' Ted' already imprinted in the back of their minds ... there would be zero way Ted could weasel out of it, even with a convincing debate performance. People want to believe people, especially if facing the cognitive dissonance associated with someone betraying you - people lie to themselves all the time to prevent themselves from accepting they've been duped ... But not with 'Lyin' Ted' running through their minds just when it comes time for Ted to give his most important debate performance.

Yes, those who back Cruz, of course it is still possible nothing happened, and if your guy is innocent, it's going to be pretty clear. Certainly that's not the bet on which I'd stake my life at this moment.