I’ve seen evidence of other sites that don’t agree with these two.
This is a rough draft. It’s probably as accurate as any.
I use it as a ball park figure and consider what the ramifications are with numbers in this general range.
I keep seeing people referring to more delegates on the table, and Ted only needing 80% of the future delegates.
I’m not real comfortable with that.
I have provided a link to where I get my figures.
The kicker is that, whatever the exact counts, Trump need only get a little more than half the remaining delegates to win the nomination outright. Considering his performance so far, that won’t be hard (not “easy” mind you, he’ll have to keep working for it, but so long as Trump be Trump he’ll manage).
Cruz, on the other hand, isn’t going to get >80% of remaining delegates unless Trump crashes-and-burns (though the media & Uniparty are doing their d@mndest to get him to). Should he at least get enough to deny Trump the ~55% needed to win outright, there will be the contested convention which I’m sure Cruz (and Trump) _won’t_ win as the GOPe will find some way to completely destroy the process and just coronate Romney or some such.