It's tough to get a read on OH. It isn't a place with parts that are connected in any way.
It’s tough to get a read on OH. It isn’t a place with parts that are connected in any way.
I’ve heard Ohio described as being over a thousand cities and towns, spread across hundreds of miles of landscape, and being diverse. There are big cities, numerous small towns, and great expanses of farm country. There are also big areas of industrial activity and coal mining in southeastern Ohio. All in all, a hard state to pigeon hole. And part of why it’s often a swing state in presidential elections.
Because if they like Trump, they may simply not vote, fully (and probably correctly) expecting that whitey will have his way if they stay home as in fond years' past. So there's (almost) no way to a correlate a sit-and-spinner to +1 Trump; but there are some ways to correlate a sit-and-spinner to -1 Cankles; and that is her cadre's greatest fear - the mau mua vote returning to '04-'00 levels, or more to the point, Bubba's '96-'92!
['12] 95-5, ['08] 99-1, ['04] 93-7, ['00] 95-3-2, ['98] 82*-12-6, ['96] 77*-11-12
* Gallup classified "non-white" '96 and prior.
Jeff, Pinging you to: The Census has a PDF breakout of minority voting that is a gold mine.