[ghost of stonewall jackson]

Rubio won’t even N.H., and where will the pseudo-conservative trump get his first win?

the nom is cruz’s to lose

[Sybeck1]

Seeing Trump in Mississippi on January 2nd!

[entropy12]

State by State poll breakdown prepared by BigEdLB..

[Mariner]

Everyone should keep in mind that ALL primaries and caucus up to March 15th will have their delegates awarded proportionately. If somebody wins 50% +1 in one of those states, they CAN count the state toward the minimum 8 wins to qualify for the nomination.

However, even if somebody wins 50 or 60%, their delegate count will be shared with the 11% guy.

The GOP did this to block a momentum candidate (grassroots, non-Jeb) from building a formidable early lead in the delegate count.

The thinking was if somebody racked up 100-150 delegates on March 1st, that would not drive sufficient funding or momentum to keep them in the race until CA on Jun 7th.

It IS possible for somebody to win the nomination with just 8 states: CA, PA, NY, NC, FL, OH, CO, AZ. In fact, those states alone nearly provide the minimum delegates of an outright win. And it's very, very expensive to play there.

The SEC Primaries will be of little significance to the nomination as it's designed to DISPERSE delegates throughout the field.