The WSJ is now desperately hoping for a brokered convention in which the GOPe / RINO bigwigs can pick the Rube.
Otherwise, an outright win is going to an anti-establishment candidate.
I have a Master’s Degree in Electrical Engineering from the oldest engineering college in America.
My undergrad didn’t suck either.
I do where blue shirts occasionally - I’ll give them that.
Don Trump and Theodore Cruz are the shit.
For the same reason it hasn't happened for more than the last half century: because the purpose of the TV-era convention is to anoint the nominee, not choose the nominee.
So wishes the Wall Street Journal as they pine for a brokered convention to nominate Jeb or some other Chamber of Commerce/Donor favorite.
But the truth of the matter is that the campaign is already down to four candidates (Trump, Carson, Cruz & Rubio) and Trump is much further ahead now than Romney was at this point four years ago.
The game is over if he cements a deal with any of the other three within the next three months. I'm cautiously optimistic that it won't be the putz Rubio.
Meaning Jeb won't quit until every possible avenue of treason and bribery has been explored. :)
One year ago, I had him as the slam dunk winner of the nomination and the Presidency. His odds have dropped, but with the corruptocracy firmly behind him he still has a about a 50-50 chance of pulling it off, whatever the polls say today.
If the rules don’t change, EIGHT states’ majority delegations will be needed to even have a name entered in for nomination. That means a MAXIMUM of five candidates entered, but more likely three or four at the most.
What state can John Ellis Bush win? As things now stand, none.
What states can Cruz win? Right now he’s looking good in Texas. I can tell you that he has superior ground organization, MUCH better than Rubio’s. It is doubtful that Rubio or Carson will even be on the ballot in Virginia. (Only John Ellis Bush, Trump and Cruz are on target to make the ballot.) Cruz will be quite competitive in the heartland, south and the mountain states with Carson and Trump as things now stand.
Carson is strong in the south and the heartland.
Trump will clean up in the northeast. He speaks their language, he gets people motivated there. He will clean up in NY, New Hampshire, CT, Pennsylvania, NJ and Massachusetts. CLEAN. UP.
Rubio is competitive in Florida and is competitive in the upper midwest.
I can see Trump getting his eight states as things now stand. I can see it for Carson. Cruz has to move the needle a bit more, but he is on the right trajectory to do just that, largely at the expense of Carson and Rubio.
I cannot name eight states that Rubio can win without Trump, Carson or Cruz dropping out. I don’t see them dropping out.
Unless a bunch of RINOs position themselves to go to the convention as rogue Trump delegates to change the rules in their favor or to get their way on a successive ballot, I don’t see an opening for a RINO to get on the ballot, and the Cruz, Carson and Trump delegates won’t give them one. They’ll be LUCKY if they can get a Rubio as VP.
If Trump has a plurality and the convention cannot cobble together a majority based on his delegates’ cooperation, he will go Third Party, unless the Cruz and Carson delegates come to an agreement with Trump’s personal blessing.
There are a number of scenarios where a majority of the delegation (and alternates) might just walk out.
They are setting the stage for a convention decision because they HAVE to produce an amnesty candidate for The Cheap Labor Express.