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Can Oil Prices Drop to $40 a Barrel? Some Say It's Possible
NBC News ^ | 12-1-2014

Posted on 12/01/2014 7:01:18 AM PST by Citizen Zed

Remember way back in June, when oil was $115 a barrel? Now it's trading at around $67.90 a barrel for Brent crude and some analysts are predicting, given the right conditions, it could tumble to as low as $40 a barrel.

Weak demand, a strong U.S. dollar and booming U.S. oil production are the three main reasons behind the fall, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA), which warned of a "new chapter" for oil markets, which could even affect the social stability of some countries. Russia is already feeling some pain: the ruble tumbled about 4 percent on Monday, on course for its biggest daily drop since the 1998 financial crisis.

(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: breakeven; energy; oil; oilprice
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To: Lazamataz

It’s his favorite home..................


21 posted on 12/01/2014 7:24:41 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: Jewbacca
They are dumping oil at lower than the cost of production to harm US domestic production.

Lower than US costs, but higher than Saudi costs.

22 posted on 12/01/2014 7:24:43 AM PST by Paleo Conservative (Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not really out to get you.)
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To: redgolum
盘点世界十大最具威慑力核武器(组图


23 posted on 12/01/2014 7:26:55 AM PST by Lazamataz (Proudly Deciding Female Criminal Guilt By How Hot They Are Since 1999 !)
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To: Citizen Zed

24 posted on 12/01/2014 7:27:55 AM PST by xp38
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To: central_va
Оставьте ядерного оружия на Саудовскую Аравию


25 posted on 12/01/2014 7:28:46 AM PST by Lazamataz (Proudly Deciding Female Criminal Guilt By How Hot They Are Since 1999 !)
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To: Jewbacca

That is not production cost.

Those governments get significant revenue from the oil production. Those number are the required price of oil to balance their government spending. They are not related to the cost of production.


26 posted on 12/01/2014 7:28:51 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: Paleo Conservative

Kind of. It’s hard to do a apples-to-apples comparison due to the way oil is owned and produced in the two countries. If you strip out royalties, taxes, and fees and whatnot, it’s about the same cost, with Saudi being slightly lower.

But if you count all-in-cost in Saudi (including transport), it’s $98 to break even in Saudi. (See link above.)


27 posted on 12/01/2014 7:29:35 AM PST by Jewbacca (The residents of Iroquois territory may not determine whether Jews may live in Jerusalem)
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To: Lazamataz

How dare those countries sell their oil at market prices!!!!


28 posted on 12/01/2014 7:30:22 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: thackney

OK, then remove the 1/4 royalty from US production and the 1/3 tax burden (severance and income) and re-compare.


29 posted on 12/01/2014 7:31:06 AM PST by Jewbacca (The residents of Iroquois territory may not determine whether Jews may live in Jerusalem)
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To: Lazamataz

What does the Script on top say?

Cool pic .


30 posted on 12/01/2014 7:32:15 AM PST by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: thackney

31 posted on 12/01/2014 7:33:50 AM PST by Lazamataz (Proudly Deciding Female Criminal Guilt By How Hot They Are Since 1999 !)
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To: Citizen Zed

$40 a barrel?

Nice... so we can expect $1.50 a gallon gas then?


32 posted on 12/01/2014 7:34:35 AM PST by Mr. K (Palin/Cruz 2016)
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To: Jewbacca
OK, then remove the 1/4 royalty from US production

WHAT! You want the owners of the oil to give it away for free??? Why!!!

and the 1/3 tax burden (severance and income) and re-compare.

You are trying to compare government military, welfare and everything else spending to the price of producing oil.

This is not an apples to oranges comparisons. You are trying to compare apples to submarines. Not related.

33 posted on 12/01/2014 7:35:12 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: redgolum

Inventory of the world’s top ten most deterrent nuclear weapons ( Photos)


34 posted on 12/01/2014 7:35:36 AM PST by Lazamataz (Proudly Deciding Female Criminal Guilt By How Hot They Are Since 1999 !)
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To: redgolum
What does the Script on top say?

All your base are belong to us

35 posted on 12/01/2014 7:35:50 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: knarf

A Chronology - The House of Saud ...

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/saud/cron/


36 posted on 12/01/2014 7:41:12 AM PST by shove_it (long ago Orwell and Rand warned us of Obama's America)
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To: Thud

The Saudi’s are trying to kill Iran and Russia’s military budgets like they killed the Soviet Union’s in the late 1980’s.

Since both are over extended in Ukraine and Syria respectively, it might even work.


37 posted on 12/01/2014 7:41:17 AM PST by Dark Wing
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To: Thud

The Saudi’s are trying to kill Iran and Russia’s military budgets like they killed the Soviet Union’s in the late 1980’s.

Since both are over extended in Ukraine and Syria respectively, it might even work.


38 posted on 12/01/2014 7:45:44 AM PST by Dark Wing
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To: thackney

“WHAT! You want the owners of the oil to give it away for free??? Why!!”

Of course not.

The oft-quoted “price of production” numbers for Saudi remove the equivalent of royalty and taxation from the cost of production.

Obviously, both need to be added back in to make the numbers comparable.


39 posted on 12/01/2014 7:47:29 AM PST by TheThirdRuffian (RINOS like Romney, McCain, Christie are sure losers. No more!)
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To: TheThirdRuffian
The oft-quoted “price of production” numbers for Saudi

That is NOT the price of production. It is the price to balance their government spending. It is unrelated to the price of production.

40 posted on 12/01/2014 7:50:43 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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