I don’t know if this adds anything to the conversation.
Along I-15 from Escondido to Temecula in soCal they call the freeway, the Avocado Hwy.
A few years ago 20,000 tress were burned in a wildfire. I don’t think they missed much of a beat getting product to market.
However, the water rates were increased significantly. I see a lot of groves and properties with trees on the market for sale.
I recently, sold a property with about 75 tress. Th buyers are having the trees removed.
I think Mexico is the other source.
I notice I still get avocado on dishes in Mexican restaurants and dip offered as well. Didn’t notice price in creases passed along.
I haven’t seen the avocado market affected in restaurants by me in Texas. YEARS ago (maybe a decade?) there was a tomato “shortage” that resulted in salso and pico only being offered on demand.