Posted on 12/26/2013 10:51:22 AM PST by Signalman
The stock market's torrid rally has left it vastly overvalued and vulnerable to a horrific plunge, says Henry Blodget, editor-in-chief of Business Insider.
"Every valid valuation measure I look at suggests that stocks are at least 40 percent overvalued," he writes on the service.
Among examples Blodget cites is that the cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio, based on 10 years of profits, stands at 25, compared with a long-term average of 15.
In addition, the current ratio of stock market capitalization to revenue is 1.6, compared with a long-term average of 1.0, he notes.
And the ratio of stock market capitalization to GDP is twice the pre-1990s average, Blodget adds.
(Excerpt) Read more at moneynews.com ...
They are at least $75 billion per month overvalued that the fed is pumping in to the market every month. Let the good times roll until they don’t. Then bail the whole lot out after the crash.
“They are at least $75 billion per month overvalued that the fed is pumping in to the market every month. Let the good times roll until they dont. Then bail the whole lot out after the crash.”
How many times do we need to go over this?
They are buying Treasuries and Mortgage-backed securities, NONE of it goes to the stock market.
The stock market rise has been fueled by two things:
Corporate profits in general continue to rise
P/E multiples have expanded back to historical norms from SEVERELY undervalued levels following the 2008 financial panic.
CAN I MAKE THIS ANY SIMPLER for the dis-believers?
There won’t be anything to bail them out with after the crash hits the fan.
I’d take that prognostication more seriously if I hadn’t heard it for the last NEARLY 10,000 POINT MOVE in the Dow. You Bears are clueless. Go buy some more Gold at $1800 per ounce.
can’t eat gold
- Its almost entirely because of the trillions of dollars Bernanke has conjured out of thin air and injected into the banking/investment complex. Its simply reinflating the bubble. -
It is Obama and his radical friends in congress who are responsible for out-of-control spending (and reinflating the bubble). The Feds printing money is the consequence of Congressional spending not the cause.
hand in glove
“(I think the trick is to figure out or discover just how they siphon off their take ?”
They know when the bubble is going to burst. After all, they are the ones creating it. So they cash out into something that will not lose value just before it bursts. When was the last time a government leader was prosecuted for what amounts to insider trading? If it does happen, it’s a political assassination instead of a true criminal prosecution.
They're exempt. That's one of the HUGE attractions of the office. And why people spend millions to get a job that pays thousands. Even CNBC reported that Congress members achieve "market crushing" returns.
These posters think Henry Blodget, a convicted fraud, is a reliable source of market analysis.
I somewhat agree with what you say but if the unemployment extension ends, that many out of the workforce with make UE numbers go down to maybe 6%, then the fed stops QE100 then I wonder what happens???
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