Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Massive solar flare narrowly misses Earth, EMP disaster barely avoided
Washington Examiner ^ | 7/31/13 | PAUL BEDARD

Posted on 07/31/2013 12:02:01 PM PDT by Kartographer

Two EMP experts told Secrets that the EMP flashed through earth's typical orbit around the sun about two weeks before the planet got there.

"The world escaped an EMP catastrophe," said Henry Cooper, who lead strategic arms negotiations with the Soviet Union under President Reagan, and who now heads High Frontier, a group pushing for missile defense.

"There had been a near-miss about two weeks ago, a Carrington-class coronal mass ejection crossed the orbit of the Earth and basically just missed us," said Peter Vincent Pry, who served on the Congressional EMP Threat Commission from 2001-2008. He was referring to the 1859 EMP named after astronomer Richard Carrington that melted telegraph lines in Europe and North America.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...


TOPICS: Astronomy
KEYWORDS: carrington; carringtonevent; cme; coronalmassejection; emp; maunderminimum; peterpry; petervincentpry; prepparedness; preppers; pry; solarflares; sun
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 61-8081-100101-120 ... 161-171 next last
To: RegulatorCountry

Some of the modern retrofits for small old dams can produce a surprising amount of power from a dam with as little as 10 feet of head.


81 posted on 07/31/2013 1:22:57 PM PDT by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 75 | View Replies]

To: Lonesome in Massachussets

That book, duct tape, tie wraps, and other misc. bits and pieces kept my 1969 bug humming.


82 posted on 07/31/2013 1:25:26 PM PDT by Gadsden1st
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 77 | View Replies]

To: Aqua225

“Not an RF engineer, but assuming a solar flare couldn’t would be hubris.”

No it isn’t hubris. It’s fact. A solar flare does not generate an EMP that directly damages electronics like a nuclear EMP.

“A nuke delivers it’s power like a square wave, induces harmonics all over the place, besides the first induction that occurs in wiring/circuitry. Much larger chance of causing issues.”

You just wrote nonsense. You do not appear to know anything about this subject. Please try again.

“A solar flare large enough will induce into everything.”

No it won’t. Again, you do not appear to know anything about this subject. Please try again.


83 posted on 07/31/2013 1:28:02 PM PDT by RFEngineer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 73 | View Replies]

To: Brian Kopp DPM

“If a solar flare takes out all the major transformers in the power grid, that will indirectly affect all electronics.”

It won’t take out all major transformers. The experts seem to agree on that.

I’m not saying it’s not a significant event. I’m saying it’s not the same as a Nuclear EMP event as the author of the article, and the poster of the thread seems to think.

Your electronics will be fine. Your home generator will work. Many things will work fine. The grid would be de-integrated for a time and that could be a problem, but this isn’t “back to the stone-age” stuff.


84 posted on 07/31/2013 1:31:31 PM PDT by RFEngineer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 70 | View Replies]

To: Lonesome in Massachussets

I had that manual! And a ‘65 and ‘70 VW sedans.
“telegraphs burned” I can’t remember the last telegram I sent, so who cares.


85 posted on 07/31/2013 1:33:06 PM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: All armed conservatives.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 77 | View Replies]

To: RFEngineer

OK it’s my error. Everyone it’s my mistake. I was foolish and am totally in error.

Now can we talk about it?


86 posted on 07/31/2013 1:36:26 PM PDT by Kartographer ("We mutually pledge to each other our lives, our fortunes and our sacred honor.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 74 | View Replies]

To: RFEngineer

Can you tell me where Oak Ridge goes wrong in their report? Is their report hysteria? If so can you tell us why they are wrong and how you came to that conclusion?

http://web.ornl.gov/sci/ees/etsd/pes/pubs/ferc_Executive_Summary.pdf


87 posted on 07/31/2013 1:39:58 PM PDT by Kartographer ("We mutually pledge to each other our lives, our fortunes and our sacred honor.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 74 | View Replies]

To: Kartographer

The only relevant report to this thread is the Meta-R-322.

Read it. Kappenman is a good guy and THE expert. You won’t see him saying that Solar Flares will destroy electronics.


88 posted on 07/31/2013 1:49:19 PM PDT by RFEngineer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 87 | View Replies]

To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA
This book is an engrossing read. It's creates a scary scenario about the aftermath of an EMP attack in just the USA.

Just recently re read it. Good book.

89 posted on 07/31/2013 1:52:59 PM PDT by Focault's Pendulum (I live in NJ....' Nuff said!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: RFEngineer
You won’t see him saying that Solar Flares will destroy electronics.

He doesn't have too, it's a proven fact. But by a different means. ;)

90 posted on 07/31/2013 1:53:33 PM PDT by Errant
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 88 | View Replies]

To: tumblindice

Power lines will melt (and worse) if we have a Carrington scale event. It’s likely that virtually every large power transformer in all the power grids on Earth will overheat and fail in the event of a Carrington Event.


91 posted on 07/31/2013 1:55:11 PM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (Doing the same thing and expecting different results is called software engineering.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 85 | View Replies]

To: RFEngineer

Why is the Oak Reidge report not realivant?

I have already agreed that the possiblity of electronics being damaged was overblown in the article.

Are you saying the Oak Ridge Report is incorrect? And what do you base your opinion on?

Also what is your opinion of NASA’a Report:

Severe Space Weather—Social and Economic Impacts?


92 posted on 07/31/2013 1:55:38 PM PDT by Kartographer ("We mutually pledge to each other our lives, our fortunes and our sacred honor.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 88 | View Replies]

To: RFEngineer
After thinking about this a bit more, I was about to send a follow-up post to you, but you beat me to it.

Yes, GIC's damage transformers -- and enabled a solar storm to take down the entire Quebec power grid in 1989. A larger-scale repeat of that scenario would be a huge disaster; but, not as bad as the scenario in "One Second After". Mainly because (most) communications systems, transportation systems, etc. would still be workable. However, a huge solar flare could take out some electronics -- satellites, in particular. That would be highly disruptive. Also, sensitive electronics, connected to grid power without surge protectors, could be affected.

The EMP Commission I mentioned above alludes to solar storms:

"The late time EMP, or E3, follows E1 and E2 and may last for a minute or more. The E3 pulse is similar in a great many respects to geomagnetic effects induced by solar storms. Solar storms and their impacts on electrical systems with long lines have been thoroughly evaluated and are known to cause serious damage to major electrical system components at much lower levels than the reasonably possible E3 impact. This damage has been incurred in spite of functioning, in-place protective systems. Given the preceding E1 and E2 pulse damage to the protective systems and other system components, damage from E3 to unprotected major system components is virtually assured.

http://empcommission.org/docs/A2473-EMP_Commission-7MB.pdf
93 posted on 07/31/2013 1:59:50 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 80 | View Replies]

To: steve86

The Master Cylinder took a crap. While the truck was in motion, of course.....

I did some looking-up; the 2001 Ford Escape has had one recall a year since the truck hit the street. Not encouraging...


94 posted on 07/31/2013 2:00:07 PM PDT by Old Sarge (My "KMA List" is growing daily...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 78 | View Replies]

To: Kartographer

“Why is the Oak Reidge report not realivant?”

I didn’t say that. Only part of the report is relevant to solar storms. I told you which part.


95 posted on 07/31/2013 2:05:31 PM PDT by RFEngineer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 92 | View Replies]

To: Lonesome in Massachussets

Oh, that’s hilarious! All I can count on would be the Chilton manuals...


96 posted on 07/31/2013 2:07:37 PM PDT by Old Sarge (My "KMA List" is growing daily...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 77 | View Replies]

To: RFEngineer

Gotcha, thanks!


97 posted on 07/31/2013 2:08:46 PM PDT by Old Sarge (My "KMA List" is growing daily...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 76 | View Replies]

To: RFEngineer
This was in USAToday late last month:

Solar Flare poses huge threat: Column

Excerpt:

Modern electronics are a lot more sensitive, of course, and a similar event today would fry computers, cell phones, new cars and more. More worryingly, it would probably melt major transformers in the power net, transformers that take months or years to replace and that are expensive enough that few spares are kept. Big chunks of the planet -- all of North America, for example -- might be without electricity for a year or longer.

The disruption would kill a lot of people -- some quickly, as medical devices failed, others later as food supplies and clean water became scarce. Without electricity, pretty much everything in our civilization comes to a stop. The economic damage would be incalculable.

We don't know how common Carrington Events are, since they probably wouldn't have made much of an impact in pre-industrial years. But in 1989 a smaller flare wiped out Hydro Quebec's grid, leaving many Canadians without power for an extended period.

...

There's now a bill aimed at doing something to harden our systems and prepare for such events. It's called the Secure High-voltage Infrastructure for Electricity from Lethal Damage Act (SHIELD Act for short, in one of those now-unavoidable legislative acronyms). It is aimed at seeing that those big transformers basically get the heavy-duty equivalent of surge protectors to prevent damage in the event of either a solar storm or EMP attack.

I've read a number of analyses that claim major transformers are at risk from both a Carrington event as well as EMP attack. Is there data that supports the contention that major transformers are not vulnerable to either?

98 posted on 07/31/2013 2:11:28 PM PDT by Brian Kopp DPM
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 84 | View Replies]

To: Old Sarge

Usually the brake master cylinder has two separate hydraulic systems inside it with diagonally opposed wheels on one part or the other (sometimes both fronts). It is really scary the the vehicle could lose all braking ability..


99 posted on 07/31/2013 2:13:23 PM PDT by steve86 (Acerbic by Nature, not Nurture™)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 94 | View Replies]

To: steve86

While modern vehicles they do have two separate brake hydraulic systems, they’re not separated by diagonally opposed wheels, but always by front brakes separate from the rear brakes.


100 posted on 07/31/2013 2:20:10 PM PDT by Errant
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 99 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 61-8081-100101-120 ... 161-171 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson