LOL .. been tryin' to tell y'all for months :
300 +
Posted on 11/05/2012 5:45:49 AM PST by kevkrom
Okay... election day is tomorrow, and it's time for all us to make final predictions on the record... you know, for bragging rights.
This is specifically for the Presidential race, but if you want to lock in overall and/or specific Senate and House races for "bonus points", by all means go ahead!
I’m also going with Barone’s prediction, Romney 315, Obama 223 EV.
Romney-Ryan 52-45% 332-377 EVs. GOP Senate +8-10 seats House +5-12 seats.
If Romney wins PA and OH, I suspect that it will be a full blown ROUTE with Romney winning over 300 EV’s.
House: Rep +6
Senate: Rep +5
The reason that I have been phone-banking, canvassing and holding down the fort in our local Romney office—is that I am so stressed.
I seriously don’t think we will know until election night. I look at all of the polls. I read their methodology and throw out the ridiculous ones. The state polls are the only thing that matters. The national polls mean nothing at this point.
I don’t think we know. It’s too close. I’ve played with the election maps hundreds of times. I wish I could be more certain. A lot of the state polls don’t look so hot for Romney, but the left clearly doesn’t have the enthusiasm that we have. There are too many states that are true toss ups. However, here are some of my guesses:
Romney state wins: CO, VA, FL, NC
Obama state wins: IA, NV, MI, WI, PA, MN
Toss Ups: OH, NH
However, nothing is certain! Any of those states in the Romney column or in the Obama column could flip. I think the lean Obama states are more likely to flip for Romney. Romney’s leads seem solid, and Obama’s seem more fluid.
I know what I want—Romney with a landslide and Obama kicked back to Chi. However, what I want doesn’t matter.
Just vote and take others with you...we’ve got 36 hours until we know for sure.
Bishop Willard will lead in the popular vote, 47.8% to 47.2% with 5% wasted votes.
UN observers will mandate recounts in a dozen or more states. Regiments of pre-positioned Leftist lawyers will descend upon the recount centers in support.
The MSM will provide support in the form of selective reporting, Leftist talking points, targeted media blackouts and manufactured crises.
Cities will burn, or be threatened to be burned, if Odinga is not announced the winner of the popular vote.
No one will know what the outcome of the election is on November 6th, or 7th, or even 17th. The final decision will not take place until after Thanksgiving with the EV’s certified by dubious means.
After numerous recounts, lawsuits, unchallenged nationwide vote fraud, and multiple urban centers ablaze resulting in a modest but unreported body count, Odinga will be reinstalled as Preezy.
With no reelection to reduce his “flexibility”, Odinga will conduct “payback” and “revenge” on all those who opposed him.
The MSM will proclaim that Odinga now has “a clear mandate from the people”, and he will run with the ball doing end runs around Congress and the Constitution without challenge from an opposition party already willingly complicit in the march of Socialism. All down-ticket races are irrelevant.
We shall re-experience Florida 2000, with side helpings of ‘68 Watts, ‘77 New York, ‘92 Los Angeles, and 2005 New Orleans, with a heavy dash of 2011 London.
Oh, and Freerepublic will remain offline.
Romney 301
Ohio doesn’t matter. Minnesota puts him over 270 before Ohio finishes the count.
52-47
I predict a rout...
Romney/Ryan win popular vote 53%-46%
ECV 322 (could go as much as 359) for Romney/Ryan
Senate +9 for GOP, giving GOP 56 seats
House +4 for GOP, giving GOP 246 seats
We will know enough of this by 10 pm est to feel good about breaking out the good stuff on which we have already been sipping, and the armies of DIM lawyers waiting to challenge and demand recounts will have gone home to drown in their sorrows. A rout!
Romney 301
Ohio doesn’t matter. Minnesota puts him over 270 before Ohio finishes the count.
52-47
Romney 301
Ohio doesn’t matter. Minnesota puts him over 270 before Ohio finishes the count.
52-47
My predictions -
We will have victory tomorrow. It will be an early night, landslide for Romney (over 300 electoral votes). Not predicting Romney’s percentage but I think Obama will get 43% of the vote. Low turnout overall, black turnout historically low. We will take the senate and pick up some more house seats as well. The new bubble which I have dubbed - The Poll Bubble - will burst. There will be more talk about how wrong the polls were and why than the election itself. Dems will say Romney will have no mandate because turnout was low. I predict Obama will get only 3 to 5 states. Michigan will go red this year. Plus there will be some northeast state surprises - going red. Watch the exit polling, that’s where people will vent. Wednesday starts the next 4 years or hard work. We will win tomorrow because God is merciful and we have suffered enough and shown Him that we are deserving to keep our republic. Obama will be brought up on charges of treason eventually,specifically due to Libya, if we can get rid of McConnell and Boehner as leaders. Moochelle will be happy in Hawaii. MSNBC’s conga line of freaks will be taken away by men in white suits. We are planning a super bowl type buffet and will be celebrating.
Afternoon ping!
LOL .. been tryin' to tell y'all for months :
300 +
315 EV’s for Romney (NC FL VA CO OH PA WI IA NH)
Fries with that ?
Good advice, thanks!
Good advice, thanks!
“We’ll make you a nice crow sandwich for lunch on Wednesday !
Fries with that ?”
In all honesty, I’m glad you were at least charitable with your reply. I was expecting the normal “get out of here liberal troll” that I often get even though I have been a conservative for 25 years and a member here for 8 years.
I will admit I am not a die hard Tea Party conservative but I am right of center nonetheless and often agree with some moderate conservative writers that are blasphemous here. I also will forever admire the writings and policies of my heroes including Teddy Roosevelt, Eisenhower, Nixon, Reagan, George HW Bush. I think our party needs realism, pragmatism, objective and painful embracing of facts and data.
This is why it is painful to see people like Drudge fool people into false hope like Baghdad Bob from a rooftop as the city was encircled by American tanks. Rasmussen and Gallup are running very risky likely voter screens that killed them in 2010. Look it up at RCP, they did the worst of all pollsters, off by 5 to 10 percentage points!
These are what the data tell us:
We will maintain a very SOLID majority in the house. To me, nothing else matters. There will be no disaster policies because of that fact. The conservatives will be writing the budgets and that’s that. We will be fine as a nation because of this.
The Senate could have been ours if we ran more pragmatic candidates in three or four races but as it stands, we will see a 54-46 or 53-47 split in favor of dems.
Here’s where the data are overwhelming but people are swallowing Baghdad Drudge:
Obama has PA, WI, MI, OH and NV. The data are overwhelming on this point. Those states are checkmate. One or two polls showing Romney up or tied vs 10 others that show him down 2 to 4 in each state just don’t pass social science muster. Science has taught me that cherry picking data points RARELY works.
I’m sticking with my previous and painful call:
Obama 294 (303 if he pulls off CO but data too muddy there)
Romney 244
Popular Vote: Obama by 1.8%
The polls are now baked in for 2012 and what could be done has been done. They ate it in 2000 and 2004, it’s time for us to eat it and take it like men. There will be another day to fight!
Lets get ready for a 2/3 Republican super majority in 2014 congressional elections!
Rasmussen Party Id: Republicans +5.8 (All Time Record)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 11/05/2012 | Scott Rasmussen
We'll keep that sammy on the hot plate for ya ;-)
“Romney 51.5, Obama 47.5, other 1%.”
Ding, ding, ding! We have a winner. That’s my projection as well.
Democrats gain 1 Senate seat. The House stays GOP, with may 3 to 5 seats lost to the Dummies.
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