Ireland is a lovely country with lovely people, but they don’t understand squat about our politics, or candidates. I was in Ireland on the original 9/11. While expressing sympathy on one hand, they were all atwitter about the possibility that Billy Jeff was looking at an estate and golf course membership inn Ireland. They couldn’t understand why most of the Americans on the tour didn’t think that Clinton moving to Ireland was not just a peachy idea. (Most of us were still hoping to see him behind bars.)
I wouldn't have even pointed the location of Intrade out if it weren't for "Truthy" being all worried about the Intrade odds between Obozo and Romney.....I don't think much of outlets like them and I never see them as predictors of elections either.
My prediction is that if Intrade doesn't make those numbers realistic "they are going to take a bath" on this election.
I never let a foreigner tell me what to think about my country even when I'm in their country having dinner over business.