Last election there were many people frustrated at Bush. Today there are even more ANGRY at Obama.
Last election many voted FOR Obama, simply for him to be the first black president.
Many voted FOR him because they had no idea of what he was or stood for. They saw him for what they wanted him to be.
Many in the black community voted for him simply because he was black.
Many union people voted for him simply because he was a democrat.
Last time many Republicans voted for Obama, because of early stated reasons.
Last election Obama beat McCain 52.9% to 45.7%, or 7.2% difference.
Rassmussen had Obamas approval at 60% approval to 38% disapproval, for the first month, with strong approve vs strong disapprove at 39%-25%.
Today Rassmussen has approval at 49%-49%...BUT...Strongly approve are at 28% vs strongly disapprove at 42%.
Obama MUST keep everybody he had. But just looking at Rass's Strongly Approve vs Strongly Disapprove, Obama is at -14. (The Strongly's are the wons who are passionate about their views, and most likely to vote.) One month after the election, Obama was at +14 in the Strongly for category. Today he is -14. A 28% swing.
Put aside the Rass poll numbers. Lets look at demographics.
Remember, Obama CANNOT afford to lose any of these.
Amongst blacks,Obama HAD a lock, Obama has lost some of this block because of his stand on traditional marriage and homosexuality. The black community makes up 13% of the population, and its figured he garnered about 95% of those who voted. Many are disgusted and WILL NOT vote, meaning a loss for Zero. Many religous blacks WILL VOTE... but for Romney, simply because of the gay issue.
Remember the "Republicans" that voted for Zero? That ain't going to happen this time. He's probably lost 90% of them.
Union workers, who consistantly vote Dem, are grumbling. Look for some to jump ship completely, others will stay home.
Those who "thought" it was "cool" to vote for the first black president, no longer have that stigma. For many the shine has worn off. What DROVE them to vote FOR him, no longer does. That group will stay home.
Independents...many for the above reasons have switched. The rest, if they are unsure at this point, means Zero hasn't impressed them enough, and are likely to vote opposite or not at all.
Obamacare has pissed alot of Christians off, be they Catholic or Protestant. That and his assault on traditional marriage and his support of gays will turn MANY away.
Last election There were bumper stickers and yard signs all over. NOT this time.
Heck, even newspapers in other country's were on the Obama bandwagon. You would have thought he was running for President of the world. Today those same papers are just as apt to mock him.
Even if we forget issues, Obama has lost his luster. Those who voted FOR him based on "FEELINGS" (nothing more than feelings) aren't as apt to do it this time. The shine, the coolness is gone.
36 years ago Carter beat Ford 50.1% to 48%.
4 years later Reagan beat Carter 50.7% to 41%.
The point, Carter was the incumbent, he should have had the win simply because of position being held, and yet he LOST 5.350 Million votes from the previous election.
Today, Obama is being compared to Carter (on both sides).
The week before the election, the polls and media were calling an easy win for Carter. He got spanked.
The fact that polls have it close and the media is trying to spin everything positive for Zero, makes me think the left is in desperation mode.
My only worry is voter fraud.
Or something underhanded like a strike on Iran, 1 week before the election. Or a fabricated catastrophe, to make a martial law power grab.
Ditto my concern regarding voter fraud - have been bringing it up every now and again for some years in my circle of friends.
Can’t imagine there will be none.
Light on yard signs here in So. CA. Some Romney, and I haven’t seen an Obumpo yard sign.
Same for car stickers - Romney, not BHO.
The ‘historic vote’ has faded, IMO - -
Darned good post. Thanks!
The only certainty in the foregoing is voter fraud. The strenuous efforts by Obama and the Demonrats to thwart any reasonable means of voter ID means only one thing: a plan for voter fraud on a grand scale is in the works. The Democrap party has devolved into little more than a criminal enterprise.