BTW, where do you think Intrade would be if they saw the early voting # s from OH?
Yes, poll info. But, not only the reported information - the internals should (theoretically) be priced in as well. The fact that Obama is still ~80% on Intrade suggests that the people who are trading on Intrade are buying in to the media "poll consensus." Obviously doesn't mean that the polls are right, just that traders on Intrade seem to be according them substantial weight. I happen to think that Intrade is weighing the polls too heavily, and that Romney is a (very) cheap bet right now.
BTW, where do you think Intrade would be if they saw the early voting # s from OH?
Anyone can buy/sell on Intrade. So, in that sense, "they" have already seen those numbers (or, at least, have access to them).