[tatown]

Do these numbers actually reflect what the bettors think the odds really are or are these numbers being manipulated?? Just a week ago (with the convention bounced factored in) his numbers were in the mid-50's. Since the storming of the embassy's on 9/11, his numbers have gone straight up! WTF?

[UB355]

Obama running tons of ads in Wisconsin tells me trading is being funded by Obama campaign and has no connection to reality.

[Mr. Silverback]

I think they’re being manipulated, and that if they aren’t they’re the dumb money.

Consider that Ryan’s percentage on Intrade was tiny and Portman’s was huge. Consider also that Intrade had the USSC overturning Obamacare at 79% an hour before they affirmed it.

[DarthVader]

Manipulation, let nothing dampen your enthusiam. They are in real trouble and are pulling out all the stops.

[ScottinVA]

I’ve watched Intrade a while... seems it’s a lagging indicator by about 10 days or so. It’s still reacting to 0bama’s post-DNC bump.

[E. Pluribus Unum]

Prediction Market Manipulation

[catnipman]

Looks to me like some easy money to made here if you’re willing to give InTrade a photo copy of your drivers license and two utility bills with your address.

[AZLiberty]

Obama was over 75 cents last night, now just below. Either a big money-making opportunity, or a signal that we’re screwed.

[AZLiberty]

Obama was over 75 cents last night, now just below. Either a big money-making opportunity, or a signal that we’re screwed.