“I believe they know they have lost this thing...”
I pray to God you are right.
I don’t think any assessment of the election is even close until we get the Israeli attack on Iran. It is likely to happen before the election. It will be as huge an event as the economic meltdown was in 2008.
R’s will not be able to attack Zero about his incompetent Iran policy for a couple of months after the event, just because Americans rally to the president in a foreign policy crisis.
If Zero does not obviously bumble the situation, R’s will be standing around helplessly, unable to address the political consequences of the event until after the election.