Ohio looks like a possible pick up, and its a long shot but Michigan and New Jersey could fall if it is a wave election.
we need 4 seats, 6 if you accept that we’re going to lose Maine and Massachusetts. Ohio is looking better every week. Nebraska is looking good. Virginia looks good. Montana looks real good IMO. then there’s Florida for 5. then there’s Wisconsin for 6. Missouri looks real good. that’s #7. North Dakota could be 8 but given their excellent economic situation, they might not be inclined to switch. We need something to convince them to. I’m really not sure about Michigan and NJ. they seem pretty safe. Menendez was up 12 points on August 2nd in NJ and Stabenow consistently beats Hoekstra in Michigan. Neither are net losses for us though.