Obama can’t win less than 40-45% of the vote. When you add up all the welfare queens and food stamp recipients and people on their 90th month of unemployment, most of these will vote to re-elect Obama to keep the gravy train flowing. I would be shocked if Obama gets less than 45% of the electoral vote.
But more than 50% of the nation works, pays taxes and is in mortal fear of everything from job loss, to 401k’s being raided, to falling house values, to rising gas prices. Obama is going to lose but it will be close. Those on the gravy train are well over 40% so there is no way he wins less than 45% of the vote.
I still think he loses because of the economy.
“When you add up all the welfare queens and food stamp recipients and people on their 90th month of unemployment, most of these will vote to re-elect Obama to keep the gravy train flowing.”
People who have already run out of unemployment will be the first to show up to vote against Obama; those that are approaching the end will be right behind them.
“But more than 50% of the nation works, pays taxes and is in mortal fear of everything from job loss, to 401k’s being raided, to falling house values, to rising gas prices.”
The falling house prices and rising prices for everything else are shared by many of the unemployed; even people on fixed incomes (retirement, unemployment, disability) are getting creamed at the cash register.
“Obama can’t win less than 40-45% of the vote.”
I’d love to see how he intends to win more than 25% of the popular vote. “His” losses in 2009 (in states that he carried a year earlier - NJ, MA, VA), followed by his beat-down in the midterms, tell me a lot more than any BS poll released by Obama’s media. When I see him reaching out to college students and blacks (both of which, like everyone else except government workers, are worse off than 4 years ago), I take that as a sign that he knows he has lost the middle class and swing voters. When things are this bad, there is no more “swing vote”.