Posted on 01/06/2012 7:09:23 PM PST by Signalman
According to the latest Rasmussen Poll, 21% more than one in five Democrats have abandoned the Party since Obamas election as president. While most have become Independents, identification with the Republican Party has also risen not only since 2008 but also even since the GOPs 2010 victory.
Rasmussen, who tracks voters party identification (self-described) every month, shows that Democratic Party identification, has dropped by eight points (or 21%) since Obamas election in November, 2008 while Republican Party identification has risen by three points over the same period. Despite speculation in the liberal media that the Republicans in Congress have mishandled their mandate since winning the House in 2010, the Republican edge over the Democratic Party has grown from 1.3% in November of 2010 to 2.7% in December of 2011.
Changes in party identification are the most fundamental and important measure of political opinion in the country. They are like tectonic plates that shift beneath the surface of the political earth, sending quakes through the system. A shift of such an order of magnitude will rank high on the political Richter scale in 2012.
So dramatic a shift, totaling eleven points since Obamas election (Dems down by 8, Republicans up by 3) means that had Obama faced McCain in the current political environment, he would have won by five rather than losing by six.
But even that doesnt tell the story. Surveys of Independents find that they have long since jumped from the Obama ship. His job approval among Independents consistently ranks in the low 30s. He cannot expect much relief from that corner.
All these stats point to a mammoth upset in the making in the 2012 election, sweeping Republicans into the White House and delivering control of the Senate by a good margin. Already, Republicans are likely to take over Democratic seats in Virginia, Florida, Nebraska, Missouri, New Mexico, Montana, North Dakota, Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin. They may lose in Massachusetts and will probably hold on to their seats in Arizona and Nevada despite the retirement of their incumbents there. That means a GOP dominated Senate by the margin 56-44.
If these data cause Republicans (hopefully wealthy ones) in Washington State, West Virginia, Wisconsin, New Jersey, and Minnesota to consider entering U.S. Senate races against the Democratic incumbents in those states, it could cause the GOP to get sixty votes in the Senate. The party identification data indicates that this goal is distinctly within reach if we get good candidates in a few more states.
Dont listen to the media induced pessimism. A gigantic upset is in the making!
Lots more Dems will be have to pull their weight to get more multiple voting accomplished as well registering more dead people, cartoon characters, and their pets to vote.
Even with such a tectonic shift like we saw in 1980 I am concerned that even if we have a blowout election, Obama, with all of his newly found tyrannical powers, is going to be reciting Dylan Thomas’ “Do Not Go Gentle Into That Good Night” to put it mildly.
You mean filibuster proof. 60 seats are needed to guarantee a cloture vote.
Republicans need 67 votes to guarantee to override a Presidential veto (along with 2/3rds of the House).
-PJ
White, hetero, working, mostly men, some women, are leaving.
Anybody ever hear of the "Community Reinvestment Act" that ruined this country's economy? Or the "Dodd-Frank Act" that's going to fix it?
Anybody notice that when there were talks about slashing the budget, there was not any discussion about cutting welfare or any other programs that bribe the lefty constituency? What was up on the cutting block for both parties? The military.
Anybody notice the major inroads that "gays" have made in this country since the "sexual revolution?"
Anybody notice hate crimes laws that are only applied to some races while others are prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law?
Anybody remember the war on the Boy Scouts that was waged by the "gays" and their willing accomplices on the left and in the press?
The list goes on and on.
I'm 54 years old. I don't know about the rest of you, but this isn't even close to the country my generation inherited. It's culture has been sapped and there's no putting humpty-dumpty back together again.
This wouldn't have happened if the Republican Party wasn't just the Democrat Party-lite.
YES but have the republicans grown the Balls to actually govern like we want?????
A lot of the liberals here realize Obama has been a disaster, but their hatred of the GOP runs too deep for them to back one of our declared candidates. Several of them have told me they could see themselves voting for Chris Christie though.
Christie is too liberal for my tastes, but I would prefer him infinitely more than Obama and a whole lot more than Willard Romney as well. People are clamoring for a strong leader, and Chris Christie (even with all his flaws) is that.
And you think the GOP is capable of taking advantage of this?
Maybe some of these VERY intelligent Democrats have discovered that Obama is an outlaw. For example:
OBAMACARE IS A MONOPOLY, AND THEREFORE VIOLATES THE ANTI-TRUST LAWS OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.
And a draft will do damage in ways that a professional soldier would be glad to tell you about. The more highly trained the forces, the more of a liability the "conscript syndrome" becomes. Yelling isn't a magic wand.
At the very least, shifting back to a conscript-fed military will cause the death toll to skyrocket. One of the reasons why the death toll for post-Vietnam wars has been so low, relative to Vietnam and before, has been a professional all-volunteer army.
Great news! I’ll take it!
21% OF DEMS HAVE LEFT PARTY...and are voting for either Romney or Paul in the “Republican” primaries.
If this holds true I’d love to be a fly on the wall at obammys to hear and see him go in to meltdown when the results become apparent.
And listen to his shelf ass wookie bride go ape too.
A repeat of 1980 works for me.
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