Posted on 01/06/2012 7:09:23 PM PST by Signalman
According to the latest Rasmussen Poll, 21% — more than one in five — Democrats have abandoned the Party since Obama’s election as president. While most have become Independents, identification with the Republican Party has also risen not only since 2008 but also even since the GOP’s 2010 victory.
Rasmussen, who tracks voters’ party identification (self-described) every month, shows that Democratic Party identification, has dropped by eight points (or 21%) since Obama’s election in November, 2008 while Republican Party identification has risen by three points over the same period. Despite speculation in the liberal media that the Republicans in Congress have mishandled their mandate since winning the House in 2010, the Republican edge over the Democratic Party has grown from 1.3% in November of 2010 to 2.7% in December of 2011.
Changes in party identification are the most fundamental – and important – measure of political opinion in the country. They are like tectonic plates that shift beneath the surface of the political earth, sending quakes through the system. A shift of such an order of magnitude will rank high on the political Richter scale in 2012.
So dramatic a shift, totaling eleven points since Obama’s election (Dems down by 8, Republicans up by 3) means that had Obama faced McCain in the current political environment, he would have won by five rather than losing by six.
But even that doesn’t tell the story. Surveys of Independents find that they have long since jumped from the Obama ship. His job approval among Independents consistently ranks in the low 30s. He cannot expect much relief from that corner.
All these stats point to a mammoth upset in the making in the 2012 election, sweeping Republicans into the White House and delivering control of the Senate by a good margin. Already, Republicans are likely to take over Democratic seats in Virginia, Florida, Nebraska, Missouri, New Mexico, Montana, North Dakota, Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin. They may lose in Massachusetts and will probably hold on to their seats in Arizona and Nevada despite the retirement of their incumbents there. That means a GOP dominated Senate by the margin 56-44.
If these data cause Republicans (hopefully wealthy ones) in Washington State, West Virginia, Wisconsin, New Jersey, and Minnesota to consider entering U.S. Senate races against the Democratic incumbents in those states, it could cause the GOP to get sixty votes in the Senate. The party identification data indicates that this goal is distinctly within reach if we get good candidates in a few more states.
Don’t listen to the media induced pessimism. A gigantic upset is in the making!
If this happens then they better get busy putting some of those dem criminals in jail. I’m sick of them getting away with things I would go to jail for. They are so corrupt because they can be.
We won’t see this reported in the Lamestream media until the day after the November election.
Ding, Ding, Ding!
We have a winner!
I personally believe the state of New York is in play, and that says a lot. I think he angered NYC so much, that enough will sit out or vote against him, and the rest of the state will vote GOP.
Hard to imagine, but his fundraising there hasn’t been anything for him to brag about.
Winning a 60 seat veto proof Senate majority is key to reversing all the seismic legislative damage done in the past 3 years by the Dems.
No question, Obama really has gone off the rails and driven a lot of people out of his camp.
One danger, as noted, will be massive voter fraud.
A second danger, I’m afraid, is that the GOP has a pretty good history in recent decades of blowing opportunities like this. They would rather lose than allow a strong leader who would straighten things out to straighten THEM out in the process.
Good news that 21% left the Dem Party. Better news if they also left the country.
What more could they want?
Yes?
They are not done yet.
I think the repeal of DADT will have more repercussions than anything else. It’s no apparent now, but given time it will destroy the moral of the armed forces and cause the need for a draft.
True...this isn't the yellow dogs Dim Party....even Jimmah Carter is unhappy with this clown. He's advising Hussein to " avoid a controversial subject as much as you can in the first term.”
If you've lost Jimmah....
Who knows about Morris
He is always making predictions
But of these statistics are true maybe there is a chance
But the MSM is still a big worry
They ain’t gonna let their boy lose
The GOP management will once again demonstrate they are masters of the ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
21% OF DEMS HAVE LEFT PARTY TO VOTE FOR MITT ROMNEY IN THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARIES
Now if we can just make sure Ron Paul does not run as an Independent (figuring he won’t get the GOP nomination)...and if the above report is true...the GOP candidate will take this election. I certainly doubt any of the Dems who have left are going to vote for Obama again.
I agree that a landslide is in the making. It would be a shame to waste this opportunity by electing the same old GOP Washington insiders WHO DON’T RECOGNIZE THE PROBLEMS WE FACE AS A NATION!
I agree that a landslide is in the making. It would be a shame to waste this opportunity by electing the same old GOP Washington insiders WHO DON’T RECOGNIZE THE PROBLEMS WE FACE AS A NATION!
maybe its great news...
i was waiting to post this and here goes...i live in the middle of liberalsville- 2 miles from the clinton’s....two out of every three cars had obozo bumperstickers on them 3 years ago- now its one out of every 25...
me? I have an American Flag, POW/MIA flag and Tea Party flag flying in the front of my house and anti-obama stickers on my car...
the gym i go to is uber liberal; RFK Jr, Billy Baldwin and a few others...politics is always talked about and i get into some heated exchanges- too effing bad- i despise liberals...
heard a very interesting conversation this morning which i was not part of...one guy is a former liberal who voted for obama but realizes what a complete mistake it was and what a disaster obama has been,....the other guy is a hardcore democrat who also realizes obama has been a disaster...
the conversation was about the 2012 presidential election and how it may come down to voting for the lesser of two evils...these guys DO NOT want obama re-elected but don’t see the a good GOP contender to vote for...
bottom line is- and i know i’m going to take grief from this but too bad- Chris Christie would destroy obama while no one presently in the GOP field will beat obozo...
if this keeps going the way it is this will be another situation of the GOP snatching defeat from the jaws of victory...
Did the 21% just drop their affiliation so they could register as republicans to vote in the primary for the candidate they think obama can beat in November?
Bingo.
I have been hearing a lot of talk of Hillary stepping in in some way or another. Either as VP or, if O decides to remove himself then as presiden. This is in both liberal and libertarian circles. If Hillary enters this mess, all bets are off. First so-called black president could be followed by first female.
You are probably right.
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