If The Election Were Held Today

Based on my calculations if the election were held today the Republican nominee (No matter who it is) has 266 Electoral Votes. The One has 196 and the following states are toss ups.

Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico,Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire.

Is there an electable Republican candidate right now?

Right now isn’t the real problem. But come Nov. 2012 your question becomes legit. A lot of water will pass under the bridges before we reach that point.

definitely, the mood in Iowa is anti-obama. Folks are hurting here.

I have a foolish friend who voted for Obama in last election, because he and his wife thought it cute to have 1 vote for Republicans and 1 vote for dems. That friend has regretted his vote for a couple of years now. Although he was foolish, he, like many others, fell into the trap of thinking that it doesn’t really matter who the president is. Now, with the economy in shambles, he knows that it does.

My point is that I don’t think he’s alone. I believe that many people started looking at the presidential election as a game, aqnd underestimated the damage which could be done by someone like Obama in the white house.

The independent voters in our country were in one long drunk, as well as disillusioned conservative voters (like myself) who got discouraged by a GOP who keeps running rino’s and then pissing all over the base. Although I didn’t sit out the last election, I imagine there were quite a few who did. That won’t be the case this year at all.

Obama, like a cold shower, has sobered us all up.

Most dems in Iowa, in my estimation, fall pretty close to the “independent voter” profile, rather than being rabidly left. Eastern Iowa is the only exception to this, because that’s where the University is.

So you are saying that any GOP nominee would win any state G.W.Bush won twice except Colorado and Nevada. Given the results of the 2010 governors race, I would move Nevada in GOP column if the race were held today. I suspect the GOP nominee would win Colorado too.

Then there are the states that G.W. Bush won once, Iowa, New Hampshire and New Mexico. I can see almost any GOP nominee getting all of these too. N.H. is another place where the 2010 races make it appear to have returned to form.

Then there is the state that was likely stolen from G.W. Bush twice. The margins for the Dims in 2000 and 2004 were very slim and for the first time this presidential election will have a voter ID law. I suspect that holding down voter fraud may give it to the GOP nominee.

Finally there are Pennsylvania and Michigan. PA was particularly close in 2004. They could slip into the GOP camp if things continue as they have been.

The problem comes with a Romney nomination producing a Tea Party candidate leading to a Clintonian plurality win for Baraq.

If Tea Party people prefer to feel good and see 0bama re-elected by nominating a candidate than staying at home, I'd say they deserve to be under 0bama, Holder, and the gang. Note that I'm comparing supporting third party candidate v. staying at home, not voting for Romney v. staying at home. At the end, though, I doubt such scenario would happen. Mostly because Tea Party is not a unified, homogenous organization.

“Although I didn’t sit out the last election, I imagine there were quite a few who did. That won’t be the case this year at all.”

I did not vote for McCain in 2008. I would have to get drunk near to the point of passing out to vote for him even now. I figured; “How bad can Obama really be?” Well, I found out how bad he can be. I shudder to think what he would do if he won a second term and did not have to concern himself with re-election.

I will vote, donate to and work for whomever the G.O.P. nominee is in 2012 and the purists be damned.

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