And how do you explain that with all those supporters, 3/4 of Republicans don’t want her to run?
“most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.”
Maybe because 3/4 of Republicans have already attached their cart to another horse? A Romney supporter or a Gingrich supporter or a Bachman supporter might say “no” when asked if they want Palin to run. Is that so hard to understand? The key question is not “do you want her to run?” The key question is “if she runs, and she wins the nomination, will you vote for her?” I would bet that 90% or more of Republicans would say yes, if they were being honest. The difference between her and everyone else, including Obama, is that the people who support her are ready to crawl across hot coals to do it. Nobody has the support intensity that she does. The libs know it, and that’s why she terrifies them so badly.
While I don’t think the polls are a fraud
I think the context is bogus. It is that simple. A lot of it is some dust leftover from the 2008 election. It is not 2008 anymore and things are changing.
What do you want to bet that when she does announce, she will shoot straight to the top of the polls, just as Perry did? Impossible to do if 3/4 of Republicans really don’t want her to run.
Why should one poll, a snapshot in time be important. People have been talking about the Marist poll. Supporters have been encouraged, those not enthusiastic say it doesn’t matter. Perhaps this one doesn’t either. If those same people don’t want her in they won’t vote for her. That’s why we have primaries. I like having a lot of choices.
Cindie
“3/4 of Republicans don’t want her to run...”
Heck...I’d bet 110% of the “Republicans” within the DC Beltway don’t want her anywhere near the place!!!!
Yeah?
You may want to check the latest polls, mate.:
Palin 47% Obama 47%: Turnaround & Why Marist Poll Is No Fluke
So, there has been much debate about a recent Marist Poll that shows Sarah Palin within 5% of Barack Obama and whether or not this is a fluke. For one thing, the numbers are actually closer to 47% Palin, 47% Obama, a tie. The Marist poll actually oversample Democrats compared to Republicans by 8 points, and oversamples both of them with Independents. (There has been a rise in Indy voters, but not to the tune of almost 40% of the population. Using historical trends, the anticipated 2012 Voter Turnout rate is 36% D, 36% R, 28% I. If your prefer the Rasmussen Partisan Preference it’s essentially a 3-way tie at 33.5% R, 33% D, and 33.5% I. In either scenario, you end up with a 47-47 tie.”
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2781855/posts
And you may want to explain how someone who according to you, “3/4 of Republicans don’t want her to run” manages to essentially tie with 0bama in a head to head contest.