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The Talented Mr. Romney
The New York Times ^ | 03/27/11 | NATE SILVER

Posted on 03/27/2011 7:32:14 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP

Right now, former Governor Mitt Romney is considered the favorite to win the Republican nomination. Bettors at Intrade, a political futures market, estimate that he has a 24 percent chance of doing so, just ahead of Tim Pawlenty, who has a 19 percent chance.

Here’s a scary number for Mitt Romney. According to a recent survey from Public Policy Polling, 61 percent of Republican primary voters would not be willing to vote for somebody who “supported a bill at the state level mandating that voters have health insurance,” something that Mr. Romney did in Massachusetts.

To the extent that voters will become more aware of this during the course of the primary campaign — and you can be certain that the other Republican candidates will make every effort to ensure that they do — there is significant downward potential in his numbers. Despite that, I think I’m still in the “buy” category on Romeny at this price. Part of this is because of weaknesses that exist with some of some of the other candidates. Mr. Romney seems to have several tactical advantages.

Essentially, you can divide the Republican candidates into two groups. First, there are what I’d call “quick strike” candidates: those who need to score a win in Iowa or New Hampshire and hope to march the nomination on the basis of momentum.

Sarah Palin is the paradigm case of such a candidate. Iowa is not a terrible state for her given how conservative the Republican electorate tends to be there. She is the most recognizable name in the Republican field, an advantage that will diminsh over time as the other candidates spend more time on voters’ television screens. And, in large part because expectations have become fairly low for Ms. Palin,.....snip.....

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: rino
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We can't control what other Americans think, we can only learn what they are thinking and go from there.

As much as I dislike Romney, who has always reminded me of a used car salesman who cheated me and stuck me with the worst car I have ever owned, it seems like the bulk of the ignorant public sees it differently. (Hopefully not!)

1 posted on 03/27/2011 7:32:17 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

I have stated several times on these posts that Romney will be the nominee. We all know that he is not a conservative; he’s a RINO, that’s why he’s the “chosen one.”

I know it’s not yet a done deal, but I will state again sadly that the GOP nominee will be Romney.

After all he has good hair and is ‘electable.’ /s


2 posted on 03/27/2011 7:37:40 AM PDT by choctaw man (Good ole Andrew Jackson, or You're the Reason God Made Oklahoma...)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

btt..


3 posted on 03/27/2011 7:38:01 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (Patriotic by Proxy! (Cause I'm a nutcase and it's someone Else's' fault!....))
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To: choctaw man

The New York Times wishes it would be so, so they are out providing the free advertising...I wouldn’t believe a word of this tripe.


4 posted on 03/27/2011 7:40:15 AM PDT by LachlanMinnesota (Which are you? A producer, a looter, or a moocher of wealth?)
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To: choctaw man
He has slipped steadily in the polls lately though, the Huckster has gained a good lead on him, like Romney's support has gone to Huck. Palin on the other hand, has slipped even lower in the last several days.
5 posted on 03/27/2011 7:41:00 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (Patriotic by Proxy! (Cause I'm a nutcase and it's someone Else's' fault!....))
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To: LachlanMinnesota

Romney is the democrats pick for the GOP so they will be pushing him with everything they have and even signing up as Republicans to help him through the primamries as they did with McLame.


6 posted on 03/27/2011 7:43:41 AM PDT by sawmill trash (We are definately a day closer to the end than we were yesterday)
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To: LachlanMinnesota
Watch out for Huckabee. He now is aware that he leads in the polls and has not really been making himself active in a campaign. I think he smells another opportunity coming.
7 posted on 03/27/2011 7:43:56 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (Patriotic by Proxy! (Cause I'm a nutcase and it's someone Else's' fault!....))
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To: sawmill trash

We find ourselves at the mercy of the Independents and Moderates yet again.


8 posted on 03/27/2011 7:45:37 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (Patriotic by Proxy! (Cause I'm a nutcase and it's someone Else's' fault!....))
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP
Right now Romney is just like John McCain was in 2006; but, no one wants to talk about it. particularly how quickly McCain's front runner status vanished after he became the nominee.

The biggest, and perhaps fatal, weakness that Romney has is RomneyCare. It was launched with great fanfare and has reportedly served as the blueprint for ObamaCare. If you can find historic reports on RomneyCare you will find out that it CAUSED the same problems that ObamaCare might cause. That's right - budget busting costs with no end in sight and reduced quality of care (a direct outgrowth of budgetary problems).

At this stage of the process the most vocal supporters of Romney aren't the people who are, historically, going to vote for him come November 2012. If it were otherwise, Romney would be attending a lot more TEA Party meetings.

9 posted on 03/27/2011 7:48:09 AM PDT by Nip (TANSTAAFL)
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To: LachlanMinnesota
Liberals just promoting who they “wish” to be running against, just like McLame. Polling data lies to promote Romney's ties to ObamaCare lite as a good thing.
Run as far away from their choice as fast as you can.

Slowing down the slide of this country into socialism isn't acceptable.

Compromise with the enemy is not a virtue.

10 posted on 03/27/2011 7:51:30 AM PDT by bitterohiogunclinger (Proudly casting a heavy carbon footprint as I clean my guns ---)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

Democrats and other libs in open primary states will be lined up 4 deep to vote for Romney, knowing that actual Americans will stay home on election day, just as they did for the RINO weakling McCain.


11 posted on 03/27/2011 7:53:04 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax
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To: bitterohiogunclinger

What hurt us most in ‘08, was the fact that we had too many candidates who broke up our ranks. It seemed like trying to herd cats to put it bluntly.

McCain slipped in under the radar while the rest of us were trying to prove a point with 4 other candidates.


12 posted on 03/27/2011 7:57:19 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (Patriotic by Proxy! (Cause I'm a nutcase and it's someone Else's' fault!....))
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

I don’t ever want to have a chance to vote for Mitt Romney! He better not win the nomination!


13 posted on 03/27/2011 8:07:56 AM PDT by jcsjcm (This country was built on exceptionalism and individualism. In God we Trust - Laus Deo)
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To: choctaw man

Agreed about Romney Good Hair. Everything else about the bozo is awful. He has been the invisible man during the entire Obama administration. Banks bail out, GM takeover, Chrysler takeover, Obamacare, Libya, Iraq, Afghanistan surge, triple deficits in the trillions, oil drilling ban, Libya war without congress approval: invisible. He is a nobody. Certainly no leader of opposition to the nationalist socialists in power.

If the NYT wants him, that is the best reason for all to be opposed.


14 posted on 03/27/2011 8:12:33 AM PDT by FlyingEagle
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To: jcsjcm

I know, it’s frustrating. The American electorate is extremely ignorant. American culture, and the increasing lack of it, it probably to blame.


15 posted on 03/27/2011 8:12:58 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (Patriotic by Proxy! (Cause I'm a nutcase and it's someone Else's' fault!....))
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

NOOOOOOOOOOooooooooooo.....NOT Romney....I want a Woman and a Black man on the ticket....I want to see Democrat’s heads explode, and also see WHO’s the RACIST/SeXISt party portrayed in the MSM....and I want to WIN.


16 posted on 03/27/2011 8:16:56 AM PDT by goodnesswins (Unlike the West, the Islamic world is serious.)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

The New Times is likely the last publication with an inside track to anything related to the Republican presidential nomination.....LOL.


17 posted on 03/27/2011 8:22:13 AM PDT by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want to be on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: FlyingEagle

Romney will not be the Republican nominee for one reason: He thinks the Garden of Eden was in Missouri.


18 posted on 03/27/2011 8:32:13 AM PDT by Gurn (Remember Mountain Meadows.)
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To: onyx

Its so odd that Mittens is polling high for 2012 when republicans picked McStain over him in 2008. I think as the campaign gets revved up and other’s announce their candidacy you will see Romney start to fade. I would pick Trump over Romney if it came down to it.


19 posted on 03/27/2011 8:36:30 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

If I’m going to “waste” my vote it won’t be for a rino.


20 posted on 03/27/2011 8:46:45 AM PDT by Terry Mross (Those Who Worship Him will all bow down and say 'Yes, we can!'.)
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