This does a pretty good job of explaining it:
O Muslim Brotherhood, Where Art Thou?
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2665846/posts
Are THERE nefarious..., not “their”, sorry.
pull out a map and look what borders Egypt has north south east and west and you’ll have your answer.
As long as the Islamicists don’t take over, and it doesn’t spread to Saudi Arabia, I would say it doesn’t matter all that much.
The fall of the Egyptian government is essentially the same as when the Iranian government fell to the Mullahs. The leadership that filled the vacuum of the Shah instituted the most agressive and militant regime outside of the Wahabist movment of Saudi Arabia.
I believe that when we are complete in documenting the fall of this regime, we will find that the US government helped to engineer its fall in the mistaken notion that they are creating more stability in the region. In the end it is a very large step in creating massive instability that can and probably will lead to large scale conflict.
If the mullahs take control in Egypt and turn the place into a Muslim theocracy (with Sharia law) , make nice with Iran;’’allies’’, Iran goes nuke, goodbye Israel. Israelis may pre-empt this by taking out Iran with their nukes. Get it?
Watch the price of oil. It went up $4.80/bbl Friday. If the new regime (and believe me, there will be on in the next week or so) closes the Suez Canal for some reason, get ready for 1979 gas lines and odd/even purchasing day.
If you’re old enough to remember Iran in 1979, you are seeing it all over again, but this time it may be far worse in the log run.
It’s really too soon to know.
It depends on the nature of the change. It could be dire (if instability leads to a hard-line Islamicist govt) and it could be not so dire (if we can see some form of an elected government forming).
Right now I’m reading that the protests have taken on an anti-USA, anti-Israel tone...but who knows what to believe?
It’s just simply too soon to know.
There’s one hope I have. Egypt has a large tourist economy...so maybe some practicality can reign.
No matter what happens, the price of oil will skyrocket.
Look for gas rationing if the crap really hits the fan.
Israel loses a large, moderate, albeit unstable peace ally.
ElBaradei, may have a position of power.....we now know he was an Iran sockpuppet all along.
The Egyption people, who have had a crappy existence, will have a worse one.
Tourism to Egypt will dry up overnight.
Drill Baby Drill will become our national theme.
Egypt has obvious strategic importance to the US and the world. The fact that te MB was a late commer to the protest bodes well for the potential out come. If the current president runs away that increases the possibility that the islamists take over, and Isreal nukes most of its rivals. If there is a change to a military president other then HM the probability is a managed change from a strongman to a semi democrocy over years. Rule of law becomes the prominant wild card in stability. While the mullas in iran are outwardly cheering, they are scared to death that a 2nd democratic front might open in the ME. With Iraq actually working this could be the death knell for the adis infested leadership of iran, which means they will go all in to get the ME to rule. With 60% of egypt’s population under 30 and familiar with the west that’s going to be very hard, the kids are secular, they just want jobs.
I also have been wondering the same exact thing!
We don’t need another Iran on our hands and with Obama in charge I’m extremely nervous about another Jimmy Carter regime change!
Uh...Gas was going through the roof before the Egyptians decided to loot, riot and behead the mummies.
My guess is it will give everyone selling stuff in the U.S. another excuse to raise prices...
The big cheese in pyramid land has been in power 30 years, but wants a bit more time to prove himself...
When (not if) Egypt falls:
1. 50% chance of a major run on the US equities market, leading to a rise in the Euro and massive fall on the dollar
2. Strong desire by other nations to buy their LNG and Oil in anything but dollars
3. High risk of shipments through Suez canal ... including up to 25% of Europe’s energy. 6000 extra miles to move that energy around Africa, which means there are not enough tankers in the world to offset the impact.
4. Growing, massive distaste for the US. We have a weak man-child running the country, and everyone knows it. We NEED oil from Venezuela ... and Hugo thinks Zero is a wuss. A coordinated, “protest embargo” of the US could happen this year.
The ramification are that many governments in the Middle East may go dopwn leaving radical Islamics in charge of the Middle east and when they attack Israel the whole place could be turned into a nuclear wasteland.