The Cycle of Cosmic Catastrophes:
Flood, Fire, and Famine
in the History of Civilization
by Richard Firestone,
Allen West, and
Simon Warwick-Smith
Posted on 01/23/2011 5:47:22 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
You gotta hand it to the guy, despite almost every single one of his prognostications turning out to be wrong, he doesn’t bat an eyelid but just right on going. And they keep letting him.
The latest escapade from Beijing Jim involves a paper he’s writing which says it’s “almost dead certain” that the sea will rise by a multiple number of metres this century. As Treehugger reports:
“[Business as usual] scenarios result in global warming on the order of 3-6°C. It is this scenario for which we assert that multi-meter sea level rise on the century time scale are not only possible, but almost dead certain.”
Treehugger. Multi-Meter Sea Level Rise by 2100 Certain with Business As Usual Emissions: James Hansen.
Apparently, Beijing Jim reckons that something called “albedo flip” will speed the process of melting all the ice in the word (including the 90% of the world’s ice in Antarctica, currently chilling at around -40 degrees celcius). For more, you can read the draft paper here.
What’s so touching about the way Treehugger reports this latest paper is the level of doe-eyed trust they seem to still have in him:
James Hansen may be as much as a celebrity as one can be in the world of climate change science, so when he and colleague Makiko Sato say that we’re in for multi-meter sea level rise by 2100 you have to pay attention, even when that prediction falls well outside the range predicted by many other climate scientists
Isn’t that nice? His predictions for temperature rises with “business as usual scenarios” from 1988 that kicked this whole thing off were miles out, yet still they believe in him, despite what those horrid sceptics say with their insistence on, y’know, verifiable evidence and empirical science rather than a simulation on a computer.
But sea levels will also fall by the same amount so the rise will be hidden in the fall and will not be detectable except by examining the entrails of goats and swirling tea leaves.
“The Hansen” has spoken!
Then again the state of North American ice sheets may depend on whether or not Firestone et al. are right or wrong about their NA boloid theory about 13,000 years ago.
Please help me out here.
"Almost every single one [predictions} has been wrong?"
Which one has been right?
out of how many predictions total?
If this guy is on the wrong side of "flipping a coin" accuracy, he should be investigated and fired for incompetence!
Am I the only one who sees the weasel words?
"It is this scenario for which we assert that multi-meter sea level rise on the century time scale are not only possible, but almost dead certain.”
Unfortunately, the premise (non facts) which supports 'this scenario' is false. Hence the assertion falls firmly in the "Garbage in, Garbage Out" category.
I beg to differ my good sir, it should be a 3 man outpost to include the honorable Dr. Mann whom is the author of the "hockey stick" temperature fraud.
A good one not to forget.
“Almost Dead Certain”
“Sort of Pregnant”
“Clearly Cloudy”
“A Little Dead”
“Nearly Conscious”
“A Warm Snowstorm”
...Apparently, Beijing Jim reckons that something called “albedo flip”...
Sorry, but “albedo flip” really sounds like some sort of unnatural act to me.
The Cycle of Cosmic Catastrophes:
Flood, Fire, and Famine
in the History of Civilization
by Richard Firestone,
Allen West, and
Simon Warwick-Smith
Oh,...that should be chilly reading....best done by a warm fireplace.
Never mind SC, here it is FGS.
;^)
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