Zero Delaware Senate Polls in Over a Week. Most Recent was Rasmussen at 11% October 14th

Real Clear Politics ^ | (vanity)

[Cringing Negativism Network]

So. The most recent poll released for Delaware last weekend (Rasmussen on the 14th) - showed Christine O'Donnell apparently surging almost 10%.

All polling then, stopped.

[Cringing Negativism Network]

Hmm.

[dangus]

not exactly. rcp isnt even reporting the conservative journal’s pollls which have tracked very similar to rasmussen’s. their latest poll, out a few days ago, put coon’s lead down to only seven points.

[COBOL2Java]

"Pay no attention to those polls behind the curtain!"

[truthfreedom]

Although it does seem very strange that there are no polls about this one very high profile race, I don’t mind that all of the TCJ polls are left off. I suspect that the TCJ polls might just be made up.

Rasmussen polls have had this race at 11 points or so since August. I would guess that it has tightened up a bit since the most recent poll.

[bpop]

TCJ’s polls in the other races are all in line with most major polls. Why would they make up results in Delaware?

She’s closed the gap somewhat; all the hysteria in the Coons’ campaign, including bringing in the big hitters and dumping more money in, would tend to verify that.

She’s in a position to make a race out of it. In the primary, she surged past Castle in the last fourteen days. The day before the election, she polled ahead of him by 2 or 3 points and won by 6. Ig she can get it under 5 by election day, i think she wins in one of the greatest upsets in political history.

And she will owe the RNC and the state GOP nothing! Their worst nightmare-a high profile Senator with impeccable Tea Party credentials who can thumb her nose at those RINO losers!

[Kenny]

I just posted this thought on another thread but I’m convinced this is a fight between establishment Republicans and the Tea Party. I think they’re using this race to discredit the Tea Party’s(people’s)choice and Sarah Palin.

I already saw an article that read Sarah will be dissed by Republicans if Christine loses because of this costly “mistake”. These people are more dangerous than Dems because they’re embedded.

Let’s bring this race back to the forefront with the intention of winning it, I truly believe it’s winnable if the Tea Party, Sarah, Rush, and Hannity get back into the fray.

[Kenny]

I just posted this thought on another thread but I’m convinced this is a fight between establishment Republicans and the Tea Party. I think they’re using this race to discredit the Tea Party’s(people’s)choice and Sarah Palin.

I already saw an article that read Sarah will be dissed by Republicans if Christine loses because of this costly “mistake”. These people are more dangerous than Dems because they’re embedded.

Let’s bring this race back to the forefront with the intention of winning it, I truly believe it’s winnable if the Tea Party, Sarah, Rush, and Hannity get back into the fray.

[truthfreedom]

I think that the tcj polls are all made up, not just in Delaware. Or, they could be all made up. Have you actually ever seen a poll? or just numbers.

Hey, here’s the Truthfreedom poll. Christine is down by 4. It’s the best result yet. Everyone, go talk about how Christine is surging in the polls.

I happen to think the tcj research results are probably most accurate. But I see no evidence that an actual poll was actually taken. Usually, there’s either 1) reputation (in Rasmussens case) or 2) a fairly detailed pdf showing a whole bunch of numbers.

With TCJ there’s nothing of the sort. Now they’re saying they’re talking to 1000 likely voters. No actual poll data available anywhere, just one topline.

It just doesn’t look like a real poll to me - none of the TCJ polls leave the impression that they actually took a poll.

[truthfreedom]

Don’t get me wrong, I’m not negative about Christine. I think she’ll win. I just don’t believe that TCJ is actually making phone calls. I think the “results” of the “poll” are more accurate than the polls that talked to so few Republicans and so many Democrats. The real polls can only guess who the likely voters are going to be. And they’ve been guessing that a lot of Democrats are going to vote. The early voting is showing that Republicans are voting and the Democrats aren’t.

One think that’s interesting about Delaware that isn’t really mentioned too much is that there’s only one state, Hawaii, with a smaller percentage of Conservatives. Delaware is 29% Conservative. Hawaii is 28% Conservative.
Rhode Island is 29%, Mass is 30% Conservative. No one on either side will deny Christine is a Conservative.

If Christine wins, and I think she will, it means a Conservative can win anywhere.

There really isn’t any big argument saying very much if she didn’t win. Some could argue that a Conservative couldn’t win in Delaware, Hawaii or Rhode Island.

There are more Conservatives in Maryland. More Conservatives in New York. More Conservatives in Vermont. More in Oregon. All of those states have US Senate races this year, and no one is talking about blaming Palin.

If we lose in Maryland, it’s the GOP’s fault. If we lose in Vermont, it’s the GOP’s fault. If we can’t defeat Schumer in NY, it’s the GOP’s fault. If we lose in Oregon, it’s the GOP’s fault. All of those states have more conservatives than Delaware.

[PoplarBluffian]

Personally, I’m disappointed there haven’t been more hard hitting ads but pray that her ground work does the trick!

I sure wish I could vote for her & I really want to believe this poll!

[tlb]

>>> Hmm.

Hmm absolutely indeed. A race the pollsters have been checking once a month isn’t releasing daily poll results. That MUST show there is a conspiracy. They’re sweating for sure.

Good catch. Even if its a rerun of last month’s several threads about the very same gap in polling schedules.

The October polls so far:

2010 Delaware Senate General Election:
Christine O’Donnell (R) vs Chris Coons (D)

Pollster Dates N/Pop O’Donnell Coons Other Undecided Margin

Rasmussen 10/14/10 500 LV 40 51 5 4 +11D

SurveyUSA/U of Delaware 10/11-12/10 703 LV 33 54 5 9 +21D

CNN/Time 10/8-12/10 834 LV 38 57 4 1 +19D

Monmouth/Gannett 10/8-11/10 790 LV 38 57 - 5 +19D

Magellan (R) 10/10/10 1145 LV 36 54 3 7 +18D

FOX 10/9/10 1000 LV 38 54 3 5 +16D

September polls

Fairleigh Dickinson 9/27-10/3/10 801 LV 36 53 - 8 +17D
University of Delaware 9/16-30/10 729 RV 30 49 2 20 +19D
Rasmussen 9/26/10 500 LV 40 49 5 5 +9D
CNN/Time 9/17-21/10 703 LV 39 55 4 2 +16D
FOX 9/18/10 1000 LV 39 54 2 5 +15D
Rasmussen 9/15/10 500 LV 42 53 1 4 +11D
PPP (D) 9/11-12/10 958 LV 34 50 - 16 +16D
Rasmussen 9/2/10 500 LV 36 47 8 9 +11D

[mrsmith]

No big indepentent expenditures last week in that race:
http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-bin/dcdev/indexp/7
(I call this “the pols’ poll of polls”)

I take that to mean no significant change.

DSCC was pouring $100,000 plus in every week.

[Billy Daniel]

Well there is 2 TCJ Polls, 10/14-15 and 10/20 where there is an 8 points and 7 points difference respectively...