An interesting idea. Do we have any historians out there who can list 18th - 20th century uprisings and what became of them?
The book How To Stage a Military Coup (Hebditch & Connor, ISBN 978-3-60239-375-2) has an appendix listing approximately 150 military coups from the 1960s to date. Most were failures. However, these were not popular uprisings. In most cases they were a would-be dictator trying to replace an incumbent dictator.
My own book (see tag line) lists a few revolutions, some successful and some unsuccessful, and discusses the reasons for success or failure.