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Red Alert: Major Meltdown Imminent! Your Escape …
Money and Markets ^ | 02/23/09 | Martin D. Weiss

Posted on 02/23/2009 8:46:10 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster

Red Alert: Major Meltdown Imminent! Your Escape …

by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. 02-23-09

Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D.

The nation’s largest banks are so close to collapse and the world economy is coming unglued so rapidly, a major Wall Street meltdown is now imminent.

Specifically, it’s now increasingly likely that virtually all of our forecasts of recent months could come to pass in a very short period of time, including …

* Stock market crash: A swift plunge in stocks to about 5000 on the Dow, 500 on the S&P 500 and 900 on the Nasdaq … or lower. (For our reasons, see “Stocks to fall AT LEAST another 40%!“)

* Corporate bankruptcies: A chain reaction of Chapter 11 filings or federal takeovers, including not only General Motors and Chrysler, but also Ann Taylor, Best Buy, Jet Blue, Macy’s, Saks Fifth Avenue, Sears, Toys “R” Us, U.S. Airways and even giants like Ford or General Electric.

* Megabank failures: Bankruptcies or nationalization not only of Citigroup and Bank of America, but also JPMorgan Chase and HSBC. (See my January issue, “Megabanks Could Fail Despite Federal Aid.”)

* Nationwide epidemic of small and medium-sized bank failures: Outright FDIC takeovers, with little prospect of nationalization. (I’ll give you a link to our free guide with a more extensive list in a moment.)

* Insurance failures: State takeovers of companies like Ambac Assurance, Bankers Life and Casualty, Conseco, FGIC, Medical Liability Mutual, Mortgage Guaranty Insurance, Nuclear Electric Insurance, PMI Mortgage, Standard Life of Indiana and many others. (Our free guide also contains a more extensive list of insurers.)

* Cities and states: An epidemic of defaults by thousands of cities, states and other issuers of tax-exempt municipal bonds.

(Excerpt) Read more at moneyandmarkets.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: collapse
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To: cherry

I’ve thought about this, what if everyone raised them to 9....bet that would send a message!


61 posted on 02/24/2009 2:06:58 AM PST by crghill (Guns don't kill people, abortion clinics kill people!)
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To: tiki

Good luck with your financing. I have a deep respect for the small farmer. Was just reading an article yesterday about dry farming and how coping with these techniques was essential to staying afloat.


62 posted on 02/24/2009 4:30:30 AM PST by Daffynition ("Beauty is in the sty of the beholder." ~ Joe 6-pack)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
Weis is fear mongering using that chart and pulling the wool over our eyes. Economic growth is exponential and to plot a trend line you need to plot it on a log-linear plot, and adjust for inflation. It will not look nerely so scary. At somewhere around Dow 5000-6000 we start to hit long term P/E bottoms of 7-10, and things should not drop much below that.

That is not to say that the SM has not been wildly overpriced for the past 20 years.

63 posted on 02/24/2009 5:54:52 AM PST by AndyJackson
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Batten down the hatches!


64 posted on 02/24/2009 6:02:58 AM PST by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: PGR88
“Gentlemen, I have had men watching you for a long time, and I am convinced that you have used the funds of the bank to speculate in the breadstuffs of the country. When you won, you divided the profits amongst you, and when you lost, you charged it to the bank. You tell me that if I take the deposits from the bank and annul its charter, I shall ruin ten thousand families. That may be true, gentlemen, but that is your sin! Should I let you go on, you will ruin fifty thousand families, and that would be my sin! You are a den of vipers and thieves. I intend to rout you out, and by the eternal God, I will rout you out.”

~~President Andrew Jackson, on the 2nd National Bank

“We have suffered more from this cause [unbacked paper currency] than from every other cause or calamity. It has killed more men, pervaded and corrupted the choicest interests of our country more, and done more injustice than even the arms and artifices of our enemy.”

~~Daniel Webster

"The crisis of the abuses of banking is arrived. The banks have pronounced their own sentence of death. Between two and three hundred millions of dollars of their promissory notes are in the hands of the people, for solid produce and property sold, and they formally declare they will not pay them. This is an act of bankruptcy, of course, and will be so pronounced by any court before which it shall be brought. But cui bono? The laws can only uncover their insolvency, by opening to its suitors their empty vaults. Thus by the dupery of our citizens, and tame acquiescence of our legislators, the nation is plundered of two or three hundred millions of dollars, treble the amount of debt contracted in the Revolutionary war, and which, instead of redeeming our liberty, has been expended on sumptuous houses, carriages, and dinners. A fearful tax! if equalized on all; but overwhelming and convulsive by its partial fall. Everything predicted by the enemies of banks, in the beginning, is now coming to pass. We are to be ruined now by the deluge of bank paper, as we were formerly by the old Continental paper. It is cruel that such revolutions in private fortunes should be at the mercy of avaricious adventurers, who, instead of employing their capital, if any they have, in manufactures, commerce, and other useful pursuits, make it an instrument to burthen all the interchanges of property with their swindling profits, profits which are the price of no useful industry of theirs. Prudent men must be on their guard in this game of Robin's alive, and take care that the spark does not extinguish in their hands. I am an enemy to all banks discounting bills or notes for anything but coin. But our whole country is so fascinated by this Jack-lantern wealth, that they will not stop short of its total and fatal explosion."

~~Thomas Jefferson to Dr. Thomas Cooper, 1814

Banking was conceived in iniquity and was born in sin. The bankers own the earth. Take it away from them, but leave them the power to create money, and with the flick of the pen they will create enough deposits to buy it back again. However, take it away from them, and all the great fortunes like mine will disappear and they ought to disappear, for this would be a happier and better world to live in. But, if you wish to remain the slaves of bankers and pay the cost of your own slavery, let them continue to create money.

~~Sir Josiah Stamp, in1927 the 2nd richest man in England, and former head of The Bank of England

65 posted on 02/24/2009 6:09:57 AM PST by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: blam; unkus; dennisw

Yep, $500 for canned goods could be the best investment you ever made. At the worst, (as an investment), we muddle through and you eat the food. OTOH, it could save your family’s life.

One factor to consider is that going out to look for food during a crisis could put you in great danger from roving bandits etc. Hungry people with no prospects will be very dangerous. If you can avoid the hunt for food during the worst phases, you will be much safer.


66 posted on 02/24/2009 6:13:30 AM PST by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: Travis McGee
I have been adding a few cans here and there each time I shopped for months. Glenn Beck has been calling for this for about a year now. I store them in a spare bedroom in our house. I figure if things go well, I eat the stuff and if things go bad, I at least have a few months worth of food for my family.
I talked a friend of mine in Tampa into doing the same thing and she told me that her daughter asked why they were doing this and she told her, "In case the economy crashes, now don't you tell a soul we have food!". Kind of reminded me of a cross between "Grapes of Wrath" and "Escape from New York"
67 posted on 02/24/2009 6:42:05 AM PST by 4everontheRight ("Boy, those French: They have a different word for everything! "- Steve Martin)
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To: muawiyah

There’s certainly no signs of drought in our area in Iowa.


68 posted on 02/24/2009 6:48:45 AM PST by Conservativegreatgrandma (When the righteous rule, the people rejoice; when the wicked rule the people mourn. Proverbs 29;2)
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To: 4everontheRight

I would suggest taking a sharpie pen and marking the dates of purchase adn exp. right on top of the cans as you buy them. They will go bad, starting in 3-4 years.


69 posted on 02/24/2009 6:53:56 AM PST by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: tiki
Best wishes to you. Farmers have never been appreciated like they should have been.
70 posted on 02/24/2009 7:02:47 AM PST by unkus
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To: Conservativegreatgrandma

You may be alone.


71 posted on 02/24/2009 7:15:37 AM PST by muawiyah
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To: blam
He said the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in September marked a turning point in the functioning of the market system.

Soros has yet to explain what Lehman Brothers was doing that cause them to go bankrupt. All he has done is itched that the powers that be let them go bankrupt. Did some one or more than one, known or unknown out smart Mr. financial take down?

72 posted on 02/24/2009 7:21:38 AM PST by Just mythoughts
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Avoidable? Yes.

If Obama hadn’t signed Porkulus, if he would extend and improve on Bush’s tax cuts, if he would deregulate the financial markets and remove the onerous regulations that are causing the crisis.

Never happen? Yes.


73 posted on 02/24/2009 12:08:50 PM PST by 1010RD (First Do No Harm)
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To: jiggyboy

That is a good sign. I am a contrarian and am buying like crazy.


74 posted on 02/24/2009 12:09:39 PM PST by 1010RD (First Do No Harm)
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To: muawiyah

On the other hand, it could be that our culture is moving away from snail mail with a vengeance and we are in a period where advertizing is WAY down.

I know Linens & Things and Circuit City aren’t sending flyers any more.

I now pay all my bills electronically and don’t even receive a paper copy of my paycheck.

All we get, day after day, is junk mail. And it is shrinking.


75 posted on 02/24/2009 12:35:29 PM PST by RobRoy (Islam is a greater threat to the world today than Nazism was in the 1930's.)
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To: Travis McGee

That is good advice.

I also never golf during a thunder storm!


76 posted on 02/24/2009 12:36:22 PM PST by RobRoy (Islam is a greater threat to the world today than Nazism was in the 1930's.)
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To: RobRoy
All of which may or may not be true. But what I'm looking at is the "differential" between reduced variable costs and the reduction in revenue.

Potter cut $2 billion out of ordinary costs. At the same time revenues dropped $6.5 billion (leaving a net loss of $4.5 billion).

That's more than a 10% drop in a very short period of time.

What that means is that the loss in revenue occurred predominantly in the parts of the entire USPS national business structure with the lowest level of variable costs ~ that consists of rural America, particularly those parts most dependent on agricultural endeavor.

Any other type of loss (to electronics) would broadcast a different sort of signature ~ one where reductions in variable cost (due to loss of volume) were far closer to reductions in revenue.

BTW, I'm not the first guy to notice the phenomenon. That happened in the early 1950s when there was a major drought. Congress raised postage rates temporarily explicitly for the purpose of preserving service value (cost of operations) during the drought.

Even the arrival of the Great Depression in the early 1930s didn't have this particular impact, although the 1937 drought (SEE: Dust Bowl) did. No rate change was needed for 1937 because the Post Office Department was being used by Roosevelt as an employer of last resort, and subsidies were plentiful.

At the moment I remain America's most knowledgeable expert regarding the use of USPS as an early warning device for detecting serious droughts. My record in that regard is, so far, perfect. You should pray that I am wrong this time!

77 posted on 02/24/2009 12:52:47 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

My relatives in Northeastern SD would probably like a drought. They’ve been flooded for over a decade.

;)


78 posted on 02/24/2009 1:00:34 PM PST by RobRoy (Islam is a greater threat to the world today than Nazism was in the 1930's.)
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To: RobRoy

That used to be part of a really big lake.


79 posted on 02/24/2009 1:10:20 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: AndyJackson
My long-time guess(for close to a decade) has been that it will settle around lower-6000's after initial dip down to 4000's. Probably close to your estimate. However, it won't surprise me if I turn out to be 'optimistic.'

What a difference a couple of years make? My estimate was viewed as beyond the worst, an impossibility, a real tin-foil stuff, back then. Now some people are predicting worse than I am.:-)

80 posted on 02/24/2009 9:35:45 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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