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To: sickoflibs

This is not a cyclical recession, it is a structural one triggered with a financial crisis. The only historical economic research (http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/2877) on the consequences of financial panics average to:
* Housing prices dropping 35% over 6 years (2011 bottom)
* Stock prices dropping 55% over 3.5 years (Dow 6500 by mid-2010)
* Unemployment rising 7% within 4 years of downturn (over 10% by end of 2011)
* Real per capita GDP down 9% over 2 years.
* Public debt increase of 86% (national debt at 120% GDP by 2012).


53 posted on 01/26/2009 11:52:55 AM PST by sanchmo
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To: sanchmo

interesting article.


55 posted on 01/26/2009 12:04:26 PM PST by CottonBall
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To: sanchmo; bronxboy

I am wondering how this generation will handle deaths from pharma shutdowns, if they occur.


66 posted on 01/26/2009 2:22:41 PM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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