Well, the only way one can know is to look at the polls the media conducts...and as usual, according to them, McCain is losing just about everywhere. Take that to mean what you will.
I would think that if the polls are close then McCain might come through!
I always wonder on the effect on potential voters if they believe their preferred party is going to romp home. Do some stay home or do they jump on the bandwagon and go out and vote because they want to say “hey, I voted for .....”.
Similalry does being behind in the polls cause apathy or a determination to make your vote count.
Cheers
Mel