That image looks similar to where Andrew made landfall in LA...but I am not sure.
Katrina/New Orleans was an engineering failure. The wind was modest. The surge was modest, but put a modest natural event up against terrible engineering and you get failure.
Maybe if these people evacuate enough they will give it up. If this storm does not flood NO and they do evacuate I bet next time the people will just sit it out.
This was Katrina, August, 2005:
This was Rita, September 2005:
And this is Gustav, subject to change of course.