TS Gustav & TS Hanna

NOAA/NHC ^ | August 28, 2008 | NOAA/NHC

[NautiNurse]

The 2008 peak of hurricane season is ramping up with Gustav and Hanna. The two storms pose threats to the U.S. At least 22 deaths in Hispanola are attributed to Gustav to date, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica. Tropical Storm Hanna has formed in the Atlantic.

Gustav	Hanna
Visible Satellite Image Loop Infrared Satellite Image Loop	Visible Image Loop Infrared Image Loop
WV Satellite Image Loop	WV Image Loop
Public Advisory	Public Advisory
Discussion	Discussion
Buoy Data: Western Caribbean                   FL and East GOM                   Western GOM	East Caribbean West Atlantic Florida

Forecast Models

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[dirtboy]

In looking at the August TS history map for Hanna over at WeatherUnderground, all but one TS in that region during August curved up the East Coast. Only one headed towards Florida and then to Louisiana.

And that was Andrew.

[nuclady]

Thanks for the ping, as always.

[blam]

Gustav Heads To Open Water After Swamping Jamaica

[sport]

Reference your post # 114:

I believe that your assessment is correct.

[eastforker]

Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on August 29, 2008
...Gustav poised to strengthen over the northwestern Caribbean...

at 1100 am EDT...1500 UTC...the government of Cuba has issued a
Hurricane Warning for western Cuba...for the provinces of Isla de
Juventud...Pinar del Rio...la Habana...and Ciudad de la
Habana...and a Tropical Storm Warning for central Cuba...for the
provinces of Matanzas...Cienfuegos...Villa Clara...Sancti
Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...and Camaguey. A Tropical Storm Warning
also remains in effect for the Cuban province of Granma. A
Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to
protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A
Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

At 1100 am EDT...the government of Jamaica has changed the Hurricane
Warning for Jamaica to a Tropical Storm Warning.

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Cayman Islands.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 1100 am EDT...1500z...the center of Tropical Storm Gustav was
located near latitude 18.6 north...longitude 78.8 west or about 165
miles...265 km...east-southeast of Grand Cayman and about 450 miles
...725 km...east-southeast of the western tip of Cuba.

Gustav is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph...13 km/hr. A
turn to the northwest is expected later today...with a continued
northwestward motion on Saturday and Sunday. On this track...the
center of Gustav will pass near or over the Cayman Islands later
today...over the western portions of Cuba on Saturday...and into
the southern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph...100 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Strengthening is likely during the next couple of days...and
Gustav is expected to become a hurricane later today. Gustav could
become a major hurricane before reaching western Cuba.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles...220 km
from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb...29.18 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels
can be expected in areas of onshore winds in the Hurricane Warning
areas.

Gustav is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to
12 inches across Jamaica...the Cayman Islands...and western
Cuba...with isolated maximum amounts of up to 25 inches possible.
These rains will likely produce life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides. Rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are possible
over southern Cuba.

Repeating the 1100 am EDT position...18.6 N...78.8 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds...65
mph. Minimum central pressure...988 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 200 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 500
PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Knabb

[NautiNurse]

No big changes for either Hanna or Gustav in the 1100 updates.

[eastforker]

Good morning, wasn’t sure if you was up and about . The changes,they are a coming a little later I’m sure.Gustav held together rather well over Jamaica weakening very little. prediction of major storm 24-36 hours? Get ready for a long labor day weekend.

[nwctwx]

I originally thought it was a sure recurve, and would probably still lean that way, but the high pressure system will act as a block and that may even grow down the line a bit. Either way, it’s likely Hanna will be smacked around by significant shear in a few days.. that will likely hurt a bit.

[nwctwx]

We should see a rapid intensification cycle in the next 12-24 hours with Gustav, and I think satellite would suggest it might be already starting.

[rodguy911]

I’m so fired up about Sarah Palin I can’t hardly concentrate on work or hurricanes!!Wonderful choice!!!

[SouthTexas]

Hanna will be smacked around by significant shear in a few days.

Go shear!

Now if we can do something about NOGAPS opinion of Gustav.

[RGVTx]

I’m so fired up about Sarah Palin I can’t hardly concentrate on work or hurricanes!!Wonderful choice!!!

---

Amen!!

[NautiNurse]

Palin rocks! I am thrilled with her.

[sheikdetailfeather]

I am dancing in the living room over Sarah Palin and trying to concentrate now on the weather. LOL!

[NautiNurse]

Gustav nearing hurricane status...
Movement WNW 11 mph. Winds 70 mph. 984 mb.
About 125 miles ESE of Grand Cayman and 425 miles
ESE of the western tip of Cuba.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[Elle Bee]

Will this be the first hurricane Sara?

.

[Cailleach]

Thx for the advice, I’m sure that is the route we will take, as I’m hearing that there are no hotels along I-20 with vacancy now. Since we are traveling with our pets it’s going to be downright impossible to find somewhere to stay along that route.

[Rebelbase]

"Hanna will be smacked around by significant shear in a few days."

"Yes, I am significant. Thanks for noticing."

[NautiNurse]

I don’t know about Sarah and hurricanes...but I like her nickname Barracuda. She’s plucky. tee hee!

[rodguy911]

Me too NN!!

She's a teriffic choice and I'm really fired up about supporting the team in the weeks to come.