Posted on 08/25/2008 8:27:52 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Depression 7 has formed in the eastern Caribbean.
Buoy Data:
East Caribbean Buoys
West Caribbean Buoys
Florida Buoys
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
I’ve got some stories about fishing anytime (like just barely beating a thunderstorm back to camp, fishing in downpours, catching a double-rainbow and seeing all 4 ends).
US Rep. corrine Brown proud member of the Black caucus,her seat is safe,no problem there,time to move on.
We’ll have to swap fish stories one of these days.
There isn’t a hurricane rule book, so they make it up as they go. Right now it’s like spin the bottle in the GOM and where it goes, nobody knows...yet.
True. We are in the 5 day cone though.
Can I be childish and put my fingers in my ears and yell “I can’t hear you!” If we ignore it will it ignore us? I am not ready to face another storm.
Gosh no. I just thought it was odd, they have it going either WAY west or WAY east, with us right in the middle. Frankly, I’m good with that!
susie
Not looking good for the homefront https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_07
Unfortunately for some location in the GOM, the forecast models are eerily bunched together.
Tropical Storm Public Advisory
Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on August 26, 2008
...Gustav made landfall on the southwest peninsula of Haiti...
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Barahona in the Dominican
Republic westward to Le Mole St Nicholas Haiti.
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Cuba...for the provinces of
Guantanamo...Santiago de Cuba...and Granma. A Hurricane Warning
means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning
area...generally within 24 hours.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for Haiti from Le Mole St
Nicholas to the northern Haiti/Dominican Republic border.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Cuban provinces of Las
Tunas and Holguin. A Hurricane Watch is also in effect for Jamaica.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
Interests in central and western Cuba and the Cayman Islands should
closely monitor the progress of Gustav.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
The eye of Hurricane Gustav made landfall on the southwest peninsula
of Haiti about 10 miles...16 km...west of jacmel...shortly after
100 PM EDT...1700 UTC.
At 200 PM EDT...1800z...the center of Hurricane Gustav was located
just inland near latitude 18.2 north...longitude 72.8 west or about
40 miles...60 km...southwest of Port au Prince Haiti and about 190
miles...310 km ...southeast of Guantanamo Cuba.
Gustav is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph...16 km/hr.
A turn toward the west-northwest with a decrease in forward speed
forecast is expected later today...and a general west-northwestward
motion is expected Wednesday. On this track this hurricane should
move across the southwestern peninsula of Haiti later today and near
or just south of eastern Cuba on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph...150 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Gustav is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale. Some weakening is likely while Gustav moves over Haiti...
however restrengthening is forecast as the center approaches
eastern Cuba on Wednesday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles...35 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70
miles...110 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb...28.97 inches.
Gustav is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8
inches over Hispaniola...eastern Cuba...and Jamaica...with isolated
maximum amounts of up to 20 inches possible. These rains will
likely produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels
along with large and dangerous battering waves can be expected in
areas of onshore winds in the Hurricane Warning area.
Repeating the 200 PM EDT position...18.2 N...72.8 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds...90 mph.
Minimum central pressure...981 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
500 PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Pasch/Brown
Thank you.
I guess that means that most likely the Gulf Coast will get smacked. I hope it fizzles out.
GOM storms always track east of the early models.
I am going to hold you on that. But these are real early, I think it will track more westerly and then curve back to the right.
The question is, how far east of the models can and should (considering Fay’s meandering) we reasonably hope for (I can wish for a hard right into the Bahamas, but that isn’t happening)?
Yes lot of backlash over this! There were 2 women. Talk about
BALONEY!
http://www.jacksonville.com/tu-online/stories/082608/met_322936071.shtml
2 videos also
000 URNT12 KNHC 261814 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL072008 A. 26/17:56:10Z B. 18 deg 09 min N 072 deg 47 min W C. 700 mb 3003 m D. NA kt E. 225 deg 2 nm F. 330 deg 042 kt G. 235 deg 006 nm H. EXTRAP 992 mb I. 8 C/ 3046 m J. 11 C/ 3058 m K. 11 C/ NA L. CLOSED WALL M. C10 N. 12345/7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF302 0307A GUSTAV OB 06 MAX FL WIND 42 KT SW QUAD 17:54:30 Z MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 51 KT SE QUAD 17:59:30 Z SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB
TMA analysis will be up shortly.
They used prisoners from the Duval County Jail to lay the sandbags.
Denise Lee is denying she requested sandbags.
Neither deserve the office they hold!
“I’m going to laugh my butt off if this thing slams into NOLA.”
You know, I wouldn’t laugh at all if I heard that a hurricane could possibly hit somewhere near where you have loved ones.
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