Posted on 12/09/2007 9:27:25 PM PST by varina davis
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007
THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 425 MILES EAST OF PUERTO RICO REMAINS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED...BUT SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT DEVELOPED A CLOSED CIRCULATION YET. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH AND IS PRODUCING HEAVY SQUALLS WITH GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE NORTH OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL STORM COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...HISPANIOLA... AND THE EASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FURTHER SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AS NECESSARY. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...CONSULT STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
$$ FORECASTER AVILA
Gee.
Thanks for the heads up!
Pick One.. (or more) :-)
What ‘caused’ it?
Global Warming
George Bush
Al Gore’s piehole erupted .. again
Atmospheric Stuff happens
A late season storm could sure mess with the Christmas displays
Pretty darn unusual and interesting for a tropical storm or hurricane to be a possible threat in December. If it holds together it is headed west at the moment. Waters are still warm and winds are no unfavorable for development.
I hope it dos’ent blow over any holiday trees
Not possible. We have already had the hurricane party.
yup, not sure on water temps but models here all point it westward..
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200794_model.html#a_topad
We could use the rain... churn baby churn!
Hope it rockets straight to Georgia.
Not at all likely, but Georgia could sure use a TS.
Forecaster Avila has been on the job for a long time. I’ve been seeing that name for years on these Atlantic forecasts.
Yes, Avila is a good forecaster. Also, the NHC doesn’t issue these warnings unless it really believes a threat is possible.
I track these things from my nice landlocked home so I’m very curious as to what will happen. It’s rare for them to develop past November but it does happen—most notably back in ‘05 when Epsilon and Zeta defied odds and taunted forecasters.
That's arbitrary, The '05 season had storms right on into January. This little ditty doesn't seem to have a lot of punch, buy if it takes a slow track up through Georgia, that would be cool. By now, a flash flood is not a danger; it's our salvation.
Yep, the tropics are unpredictable. It is actually heading into more favorable waters so anything is possible.
Forecaster Avila is da man.
Yes, 2005 did carry on past the normal deadline. The “official” Atlantic Hurricane Season as determined by NOAA is June 1 through Nov. 30 — but nature sometimes has other ideas.
It was 83 degrees in LA today- so nothing surprises me. We’ll probably be tropical year round- which depresses me greatly.
And I recall in the late 80’s that a 100mph storm hit LA in December. There were a few snow flakes in the air, and I stood outside to watch the telephone pole swaying. Weather people said if it weren’t December it would be a named storm. It went up the east coast and became a major winter storm.
Gulf storms in December....grrrr...another reason to hate the swamp!
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