Forecaster Avila is da man.
1:05 a.m. Tropical Discussion update:
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST MON DEC 10 2007
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...
WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 370 NM EAST OF PUERTO RICO REMAINS
FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED...BUT SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT DEVELOPED A CLOSED
CIRCULATION YET. THIS FEATURE IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 KT AND
IS PRODUCING HEAVY SQUALLS WITH GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE NORTH OF
THE SHOWER ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL
STORM COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...
HISPANIOLA...AND THE EASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
19N-21N BETWEEN 56W-61W. A GALE WARNING IS ALREADY IN EFFECT IN
THIS AREA. THE GFS COMPUTER MODEL HAS MOISTURE FROM THIS SYSTEM
SPREADING OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN TODAY.