The bottom is at least 3-4 years out, minimum.
Funny, NAR is a polictical shill (and MSM and other gov agencies), because, local gov's do not want to be forced to devalue homes because that spells lost tax revenues. Use to be on average, the tax man always kept the tax value of a home at 20% below market to take in to account the housing cycles, but, that's not the case anymore.
Because of their money addictions, many local gov's push values to 90-95% of the market 3-4 year average.
Think about it, here in my area, (RTP, NC), reassessments occurred every 8 years. NO more, now it's every 4 and many assessment just based upon drive by video.
Good points. Thank you. I agree that the bottom is still some time out. These markets take some time to deflate. Lots of people will hang onto the home until they realize they need to sell or have to sell, then the REAL selling prices start kicking in.
I’m not saying the bottom can’t hit in 2 years or less, but I don’t expect that to happen. I think we will be near bottom late next year and then 2 or 3 years sliding to the bottom bottom, before lots of years of flat, stable home prices with little to know appreciation.
That assumes we don’t see mASSive inflation return. If that is the case, then inflation will catch the falling house prices. But who cares? Mortgage interest rates will be 10% and there will be NO selling homes anyway. Musical chairs and the music will have stopped. Folks will feel like they have more money in their homes but their won’t be any way to liquidate it.