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US recession risk highest since 9/11 -- ex-Treasury secretary [OH NO! WE'RE DOOOOOOOMED!!!!]
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070826/ts_alt_afp/useconomysummers2_070826190527;_ylt=AktxIHBPil8LRscG ^ | 8-27-07

Posted on 08/27/2007 6:48:01 AM PDT by Hydroshock

WASHINGTON (AFP) - Former US Treasury secretary Larry Summers said Sunday it was too early to declare the financial markets crisis over and said chances had risen sharply of an economic downturn in the United States.

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Despite interventions by the US Federal Reserve last week which appeared to reverse heavy selling pressure over the collapsing US housing debt market, Summers said the risk of recession was its highest since the immediate aftermath of the September 11, 2001 attacks.

"We certainly saw some repair and some return to normality this week, but I think it would be far premature to judge this crisis over for at least two reasons," Summers told ABC television.

"First, we can't yet know that there aren't more shoes to drop in the financial area," he said, referring to the massive loss of confidence in securitized housing loans as US real estate prices sag.

"Second, we haven't yet had the time to observe what all this is going to mean for the real economy and for the actual process of job creation in our economy.

"I do not think we yet have ... a basis of making a prediction that there will be a recession, but I would say that the risks of recession are now greater than they've been any time since the period in the aftermath of 9/11."

Summers, who headed the US Treasury from 1999 to 2001 and then was president of Harvard University until a year ago, criticized the administration for not using government-backed mortgage lenders to help homeowners facing default on their loans.

He said policy should not be targeted at protecting investors or corporate lenders in the risky "subprime" sector, which targets borrowers with patchy credit records.

"You know, the substantial majority of the firms that were in the subprime mortgage business have already gone out of business. Many of the firms that remain have seen their stock prices fall by half or more," said Summers, now with the New York investment bank DE Shaw & Co.

"But the focus shouldn't be on those firms. The focus should be on the homeowner. The focus should be on the guy who bought a mortgage," he said.


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1 posted on 08/27/2007 6:48:03 AM PDT by Hydroshock
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To: Hydroshock
One day we hit 14,000 in the Dow, everyone is on the TV telling us of the strong global fundamentals and how the world is a wonderful place and a week later someone starts pushing recession again.

What a wild ride at the end of summer.

2 posted on 08/27/2007 6:50:14 AM PDT by edcoil (Reality doesn't say much - doesn't need too)
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To: Hydroshock

Sweet. I haven’t sold short or bought munis, corporate bonds, or CMOs in years. I havent seen a decently priced fixed income security in years.


3 posted on 08/27/2007 6:50:22 AM PDT by DCBryan1 (Arm Pilots&Teachers. Build the Wall. Export Illegals. Profile Muslims.Kill all child molesters RFN!)
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To: Hydroshock

Secretary of the Treasury for the last year and a half of the Clinton administration, and served as the 27th President of Harvard University from 2001 to 2006.

In three instances during his time as Harvard president, Summers made remarks that touched on political “hot-button” controversies. Environmentalists, affirmative action advocates, and many women and those concerned with women’s issues took offense and brought increasing pressure on Harvard, contributing to his resignation.

Summers left his position as President of Harvard on June 30, 2006, and was replaced by former University President Derek Bok as acting Interim President the next day.


4 posted on 08/27/2007 6:51:13 AM PDT by IrishMike (As America wins, the Democrats and their apologists lose.)
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To: edcoil

I think a cautious course is what is needed for the next few months to say the least, this rollercoaster is nto stopping anytime soon.


5 posted on 08/27/2007 6:51:31 AM PDT by Hydroshock ("The Constitution should be taken like mountain whiskey -- undiluted and untaxed." - Sam Ervin)
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To: IrishMike

Clinton appointee or not, when someone with his resume speaks he is listened to to some degree or another by the markets. This does not bode well.


6 posted on 08/27/2007 6:52:56 AM PDT by Hydroshock ("The Constitution should be taken like mountain whiskey -- undiluted and untaxed." - Sam Ervin)
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To: edcoil
"...someone starts pushing recession again..."

"someone" = Clinton appointee = NO ONE

7 posted on 08/27/2007 6:54:06 AM PDT by NordP (HUNTER: "The real question for Mexico--Why are your people crossing burning deserts to get away?")
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To: Hydroshock

Since January 2001, the Commie ‘RATS and their little toadies in the MSM have been telling everyone that the economy is in the toilet. After a while, that constant bashing and trashing will eventually cause the people to start to believe it and in the end, will eventually make it so. This is no surprise. It’s what the DemocRATS have been working hard to achieve for the last seven years.


8 posted on 08/27/2007 6:54:17 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (When you start seeing FR as a "hate site," it's time for you to go to rehab.)
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To: Hydroshock

“It’s all Bush’s fault”. Yep.


9 posted on 08/27/2007 6:54:51 AM PDT by ex-snook ("But above all things, truth beareth away the victory.")
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To: Hydroshock
Sounds like alot of wishful thinking from the same Treasury Secretary who was in office when the dot-com bubble burst.

I guess misery DOES love company, eh??

10 posted on 08/27/2007 6:55:13 AM PDT by MCCRon58 (A man unwilling to fight for freedom and liberty, deserve neither. (Ain't much of a man, either))
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To: Hydroshock

Lawrence of Absurdia
Harvard President Lawrence Summers says his comments about women’s innate talents (or lack thereof) were mere intellectual provocation. Women the world over disagreed. Now Summers finds himself on the defensive, while a divided university debates jus
http://www.bostonmagazine.com/articles/lawrence_of_absurdia_1/


11 posted on 08/27/2007 6:55:22 AM PDT by IrishMike (As America wins, the Democrats and their apologists lose.)
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To: Hydroshock

clinton hack enough said. The housing market has been improving over the last month.

Pray for W and Our Troops


12 posted on 08/27/2007 6:57:29 AM PDT by bray (Member of the FR President Bush underground)
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To: Hydroshock
Summers ... criticized the administration for not using government-backed mortgage lenders to help homeowners facing default on their loans.

Clinton appointee calls for more government bailout of persons who get in over their heads. No surprise there.

"You know, the substantial majority of the firms that were in the subprime mortgage business have already gone out of business. Many of the firms that remain have seen their stock prices fall by half or more," said Summers, now with the New York investment bank DE Shaw & Co.

Is he saying the worst is past? Why should the government do anything at all about this? It seems that he is supporting the view that the market self-corrected.

13 posted on 08/27/2007 7:00:10 AM PDT by Brujo (Quod volunt, credunt.)
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To: IrishMike

No mention of said expert being a Demorat appointee in the article? What a surprise...


14 posted on 08/27/2007 7:25:22 AM PDT by TheDon (The DemocRAT party is the party of TREASON! Overthrow the terrorist's congress!)
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