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To: FourtySeven

Quality videos will appear in due course.

Whether of this series of objects or another.

I’d rather it was quite delayed.

Who knows all the reasons they haven’t yet.

An addiction to a TYPE II error thinking it’s far safer than a TYPE I error is utter silliness or ignorance, imho.


669 posted on 07/11/2007 10:04:38 AM PDT by Quix (GOD ALONE IS GOD; WORTHY; PAID THE PRICE; IS COMING AGAIN; KNOWS ALL; IS LOVING; IS ALTOGETHER GOOD)
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To: Quix
An addiction to a TYPE II error thinking it’s far safer than a TYPE I error is utter silliness or ignorance, imho.

Statistically speaking Type I errors are generally considered more serious than Type II errors. For good reason in this case I'd say too, since to commit a Type I error in this instance would be to fail to reject the null hypothesis that there are no extra terrestrial intelligences, and that this null hypothesis is true. But...

In this instance, it really comes down to what one "wants" to be true, and how "important" the null hypothesis is to the researcher. In this instance, if one needs to believe there are ET's for some independent reason, then one wouldn't mind committing a Type I error. Even if no video evidence is ever produced.

So hey, go ahead and set yourself up for a Type I error. Myself, it's not really important one way or the other if "aliens" really do exist, thus, a few pictures and some "testimonies" aren't going to cut it. I'd rather commit that Type II error, because if I deny that aliens exist, when they really do exist, that doesn't really impact my life at all. I'd love to hear how the question of ET's could have any impact on me, since if ET's do exist, they obviously aren't really making much of an impact on our society.

670 posted on 07/11/2007 11:51:47 AM PDT by FourtySeven (47)
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