Posted on 11/07/2006 1:03:01 PM PST by LS
[MY COMMENT: KEEP IN MIND HE'S BEEN A "GOP LOSES BIG GUY FROM THE GET GO," SO THIS IS REALLY IMPRESSIVE]
Some gop chatter... [Rich Lowry] ...from an informal gathering of GOP insiders with their last hunches: They are now optimistic about holding the Harris seat, FL-13. Not counting out Chocola, IN-2, or TX-22. They lament Anne Northup, a famously tough campaigner, is ending on a positive note. (Shrewd GOP strategists have wanted candidates to close negative.) Jean Schmidt, OH-2, apparently headed in the wrong direction. Chabot, OH-1, "flip a coin." A NY insider thinks Sweeney, NY-20, loses (domestic disturbance call will sink him) and Walsh, NY-25, loses, an Appropriations Cardinal who will be washed away by the disaster at the top of the ticket. Bass, NH-2, holds on. Wilson, NM-1, holds on. Gard, WI-8, wins. Sodrel, IN-9, holds on. (If Sodrel and Chocola both win, it could be an OK Republican night.) Simmons, CT-2, wins. Shays, CT-4, probably not (so much for kissing up to the ungrateful New York Times). Doolittle, CA-4, will hold on, and Pombo, CA-11, "flip a coin."
OK...just because it will be everywhere doesn't make it valuable or useful. I am of the opinion that exit polls as a predictive tool is on the way to the dust bin. It has been shown to be extremely unreliable and it favors the Dims AND it depresses Republican turnout due to the MSM calling races BEFORE all voters have voted (Hint: Florida in 2000, especially in the panhandle).
I don't understand the ban either. Even those who insist the exit polls are useless will be watching them intently. This simply means we'll all have to leave FR every few minutes.
Yea, This guy never has any good news about Republicans.
You might be right about turnout being lower than they are hyping it now. Sometimes local officials just try to make it sound like their area is performing well so they say "we expect a heavy turnout" and that is how it is reported in the media. Then when all the votes are in, turnout is nowhere near a record.
NO. Virginia 10th is my district, Frank wolf.
they understand that NYC is well run, many suburban people work there, or otherwise derive their incomes from the economic engine of NYC. so yes, they appreciate Bloomberg.
good. I was a little surprised that either of them were "in trouble."
The Times Union dug up a police incident report involving Sweeney and his wife from 05. They were ahead of the story and the wife came out and said that he did nothing wrong and it was a misunderstanding. At that point, she promised to give permission to release the actual police report.
The upshot is that they never released the report and just stopped taking calls from the press. They just gave up and let this little socialist take the seat.
Relax, Obi Wan is a disciple of the Lord on earth to save the nation. Or something like that.
Insert line here Pulp Fiction of Samuel Jackson happy to here the calvalry is coming.
Trust me it's coming and it's going to be heard loud and clear baby!
I heard on Fox news that Hillary Clinton put alot on money into New York races, and they said the Good guys (Republicans) are really worried. Major Garret said she planed to pick up 5 seat in NY. I got to admit, I have been pretty optimistic, but this rattled me. Only because I know she would lie, cheat or steal to get what she wants. She wants to be the big hero, for getting the house for the dems.
I swear I just hear Lucianne G. on Cavuto say there are no exit polls. I also think someone else mentioned that there are no exit polls for midterms, FWIW
No exit polls for house seats that is.
Thanks
bttt for later
Are we getting out our voters we need today along with the absentee voters???
Folks, listen to the professor and heed, well, his sage words. He has the Cedric Seal Of Approval!
So 7% of Rs=say, a + 2.5% of the electorate. That means DeWine should make it and Blackwell will be close.
I was at Sweeney's campaign headquarters. They did issue a report by a State Trooper and an "honest" journalist (the report from that 911 call only said Citizen Assist, which is code for a visit due to a call, but nothing else needed). They have let the press know that the other report was completely trumped up.
The press received the report last night, the campaign was very happy that the news would carry. However, it was buried. I've seen a couple of "The Tale of Two Reports" which is out on local stations, but the TU did not run it, and it has not been reported at all on the radio.
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