Okay, I’ll bite. Since my controversial stand in this is taking some shots, I’ll presume on the indulgence of the thread to lay it out again. In future, I can just link to this post until new evidence convinces me that I need to add, modify, or retract.
First of all, my emotional position is that I want the LAX boys to be completely innocent. One of the defining paradigms of modern American history and politics is the Tawana Brawley hoax. What truly happened in that affair is an important paradigm for conservatives just as what was falsely alleged is a paradigm that is huge in the minds of many black people and is constantly stoked and fanned by Sharpton, Jackson, Farrakhan, and their ilk. It represents their belief that the white devil – the one that used to lynch innocent young black men – is still after them, still dangerous, just wilier and more difficult to catch in the act.
I have the most profound contempt for the radical black version, the one that enriches the racial grievance industry by keeping fear of the white bogyman alive. The paradigm that is important in my mind is the one where some black person suffers in some incident and Sharpton and company rush in to show how it fits their paradigm – it is, they always claim, another example of whitey literally or figuratively raping our people.
The thing that makes this event so electric is that, in the hearts of many people, it will be confirming evidence of one of these two contradictory paradigms. It is hugely important that alienated black people get over their old fears that do not relate to anything going on in contemporary America so that they can become cooperative and productive members of our society.
In my heart, I urgently want the LAX boys to be innocent to demonstrate that the paradigm that reflects truth is my paradigm – that race baiters invent and inflame to keep racial hatred alive. I want alienated black people to understand that their paradigm – evil whitey lurks everywhere ready to oppress, exploit, rape, and murder them – has no substantial reality in modern America.
The events that happened at the LAX house are real events, even though they are on their way to becoming part of the mythology about race in America. As best I can, I detach my emotions and my wishes about the symbolic message that will emerge and try to speculate honestly and fairly about what actually happened.
Let me start on the evidence that seems important to me with a comment on the veracity of the various witnesses. I regard everything said by the players and both strippers to be highly suspect. Even liars will often tell the truth when it is in their favor so I am not saying that everything said by these folks is false, just that a lot of what has been said by them must be suspected of being riddled with lies and distortions. We just don’t know which of their statements are the false ones.
Kim has zero credibility left – her version is not even worth repeating.
Clearly this was not a premeditated rape scam but a rather chaotic series of events from Crystal’s arrival at the party to her ultimate arrival at DMC. So at least it seems reasonable to assume that she was not a ~premeditated~ liar but someone who was angry and confused by impairment and improvised a story which seems to me unlikely in many ways and has been specifically shown to be false regarding her positive identification of Seligmann.
The players were a rowdy crowd with a considerable record of loutish behavior. If anything happened to get them in a very bad jam, does anyone believe that they would not lie their way out of it if possible? I don’t say this to condemn them. This is human nature. Faced with a ruined life and a long stretch in jail, who would not lie?
The only factor that gives them any credibility is that there was a bunch of them. I wish I knew how many. I do not believe that, say fifteen, completely innocent guys would jeopardize themselves to lie for three or four who committed a major crime. That is one of several reasons why I do not believe that a thirty-minute episode of multiple rapes happened. I don’t think it could have been kept secret, and I don’t think the whole group would lie in such a scenario, although peer pressure in a bonded group like this is awfully strong.
My net on the players is that the ones who were close to any bad situation would certainly lie. The whole group would probably fudge their testimony on judgment calls like whether Crystal was impaired when she arrived. And they might deny seeing things that they plausibly could deny seeing. They might not want to know about her being slipped a mickie as that might not seem so serious to them. In other words, every word from the team is suspect although certainly some of the information that the players have given is true.
The fully credible witnesses, IMO, are the camera, the neighbor, the cabbie, the Kroger security guard, the police officer who responded at Kroger, and the SANE nurse.
My theory of this event started to come together for me with the description of several players helping Crystal into the car. There is a photo. That seemed awfully solicitous of them given their unhappiness over the money and her non-performance. Some suggested that they were anxious to get rid of her because she was a pain. Someone else suggested that maybe there were some “caretaker” personalities in the crowd. Their sudden helpfulness suggested to me that something had happened that worried the players and they were now making nice and also getting rid of their trouble.
I began to think about her being so impaired that she needed several people to get her into the car. The Kroger security guard said she was wiped out but he did not smell alcohol on her. The cop believed that she was passed out drunk. It seems that everybody agrees that she was wiped out. I think the cop was just wrong about the drunk part. The boys were drinking beer and it takes a lot of beer to put someone in that state. I am not aware of any evidence that she was guzzling beer.
The players, of course, have said that she arrived at the party drunk. An important piece of testimony has come from a neighbor who did a media interview saying that he saw her walk a significant distance up a driveway when she arrived and he was certain that she was not drunk. She danced a little so we know at least that she was nowhere near the catatonic state she would rather suddenly be in a little later. The picture here just looks to me like drugs.
A lot of people have insisted that there was no point in drugging her. Extremely drunk and rowdy, aggressive young guys don’t always require a good, rational reason for their acts. One of them may have had a drug – maybe a “date rape” drug, maybe Ecstasy, maybe something else – maybe just happened to have it with him with no particular intention when he arrived of giving it to one of these women. So the players were angry over the money and the non-dancing. And one kid gets the idea, “Let’s see if this will make her dance” or “maybe this will improve the bitch’s attitude.” Maybe it was just to see what would happen, maybe it was to make her dance, maybe it was to take sexual advantage of her, maybe it was to punish her, maybe it was just for the fun of seeing what the drug would do. Maybe the kid with the pill – if there was such a kid – acted alone. Or maybe he included a couple of others in his scheme. In any case, Crystal rather suddenly became severely impaired.
What happened while she was impaired? Maybe there was some sexual aggression toward her. I really do not believe that these rowdy guys were quite thuggish enough to carry out the crime that she reported. Might one of them have poked his Johnson at her or in her face in the bathroom while a couple of his drunken buds cheered him on. Something like this, more sexual taunting than rape, might have happened. And happened in a couple of minutes rather than over thirty minutes.
All that I have said up to this point was my theory of the case before the testimony of the cab driver, who seems very credible. He vouched for Seligmann’s alibi, but then he told of returning to the house to pick up more guys and hearing one of them say, “She is only a stripper.” I think the obvious reading of that remark is that even though something improper had been done to her, they had nothing to worry about.
The police arrive at the house at about that time and find no one at home. Maybe they were afraid a pimp was coming after them as some have said. But maybe they were leaving the scene of a criminal incident. I don’t think that that possibility can be lightly dismissed.
People will say that this is just a bunch of fanciful speculation. IMO, the evidence that I have cited strongly suggests that she was drugged. Some will insist that she drugged herself or cite the fact that Kim was not drugged as meaningful. I have speculated about how this could have happened only to establish that it is plausible and meshes nicely with what seem to be established facts.
I fervently hope that the LAX boys are completely innocent and that this fact will become apparent to all. The idea that one of the great dangers to NCCU women is being raped by Dukies is pretty absurd, as a general proposition. I hope that there is not even one case to support it.
Your last point about those who are bound and determined to find their guilt no matter how preposterous it becomes being your final frustration is one that I share.